Recent August core CPI data, which rose 0.3% month-over-month versus a 0.2% consensus and eased to 2.4% year-over-year from July’s 2.5%, has anchored trader expectations for the September reading amid elevated energy prices and Middle East supply risks. The Cleveland Fed’s latest nowcast points to a 2.32% annual rate, while persistent shelter costs and potential spillovers from gasoline and oil surges above $100 per barrel introduce upside risks. With leading probabilities clustered tightly between 2.4% and 2.5%, markets reflect uncertainty over whether the disinflation trend will resume or stall ahead of the October 14 release. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting adds near-term policy context that could influence sentiment on underlying price pressures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật2.4% 27%
2.5% 23%
2.6% 20%
2.3% 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.0%
9%
2.1%
16%
2.2%
16%
2.3%
16%
2.4%
30%
2.5%
23%
2.6%
20%
2.7%
16%
2.8%
11%
≥2.9%
12%
2.4% 27%
2.5% 23%
2.6% 20%
2.3% 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.0%
$41 KL.
9%
2.1%
$41 KL.
16%
2.2%
$41 KL.
16%
2.3%
$41 KL.
16%
2.4%
$61 KL.
30%
2.5%
$41 KL.
23%
2.6%
$41 KL.
20%
2.7%
$41 KL.
16%
2.8%
$41 KL.
11%
≥2.9%
$76 KL.
12%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August core CPI data, which rose 0.3% month-over-month versus a 0.2% consensus and eased to 2.4% year-over-year from July’s 2.5%, has anchored trader expectations for the September reading amid elevated energy prices and Middle East supply risks. The Cleveland Fed’s latest nowcast points to a 2.32% annual rate, while persistent shelter costs and potential spillovers from gasoline and oil surges above $100 per barrel introduce upside risks. With leading probabilities clustered tightly between 2.4% and 2.5%, markets reflect uncertainty over whether the disinflation trend will resume or stall ahead of the October 14 release. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting adds near-term policy context that could influence sentiment on underlying price pressures.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$465Ngày kết thúc
Oct 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August core CPI data, which rose 0.3% month-over-month versus a 0.2% consensus and eased to 2.4% year-over-year from July’s 2.5%, has anchored trader expectations for the September reading amid elevated energy prices and Middle East supply risks. The Cleveland Fed’s latest nowcast points to a 2.32% annual rate, while persistent shelter costs and potential spillovers from gasoline and oil surges above $100 per barrel introduce upside risks. With leading probabilities clustered tightly between 2.4% and 2.5%, markets reflect uncertainty over whether the disinflation trend will resume or stall ahead of the October 14 release. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting adds near-term policy context that could influence sentiment on underlying price pressures.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$465Ngày kết thúc
Oct 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent August core CPI data, which rose 0.3% month-over-month versus a 0.2% consensus and eased to 2.4% year-over-year from July’s 2.5%, has anchored trader expectations for the September reading amid elevated energy prices and Middle East supply risks. The Cleveland Fed’s latest nowcast points to a 2.32% annual rate, while persistent shelter costs and potential spillovers from gasoline and oil surges above $100 per barrel introduce upside risks. With leading probabilities clustered tightly between 2.4% and 2.5%, markets reflect uncertainty over whether the disinflation trend will resume or stall ahead of the October 14 release. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting adds near-term policy context that could influence sentiment on underlying price pressures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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