Trader sentiment on arrests before 2027 centers on lingering investigations into former U.S. officials and international figures amid active enforcement actions. Recent Epstein document releases in early 2026 triggered charges against several high-profile individuals, including Prince Andrew, while immigration enforcement under the current administration has led to detentions of Democratic lawmakers and local officials over alleged interference with federal operations. Probes involving classified materials, foreign influence, and public health policy continue to shape implied probabilities for names like John Brennan and Anthony Fauci. Scheduled court proceedings and any new indictments in the coming months could shift outcomes before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$377,493 KL.
Anthony Fauci
11%
John Brennan
27%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
19%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
7%
Mahmoud Khalil
32%
James Clapper
13%
Letitia James
13%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
2%
Loretta Lynch
10%
Susan Rice
8%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
6%
John Kerry
3%
Pam Bondi
4%
Tom Homan
11%
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
10%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$377,493 KL.
Anthony Fauci
$144,544 KL.
11%
John Brennan
$19,756 KL.
27%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$21,803 KL.
19%
Adam Schiff
$16,402 KL.
3%
Barack Obama
$29,064 KL.
2%
James Comey
$9,602 KL.
7%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,308 KL.
32%
James Clapper
$6,726 KL.
13%
Letitia James
$2,868 KL.
13%
Hillary Clinton
$25,009 KL.
3%
Bill Clinton
$2,494 KL.
2%
Loretta Lynch
$2,376 KL.
10%
Susan Rice
$304 KL.
8%
Candace Owens
$263 KL.
7%
Gavin Newsom
$37,596 KL.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,789 KL.
6%
John Kerry
$346 KL.
3%
Pam Bondi
$1,998 KL.
4%
Tom Homan
$39,788 KL.
11%
Kash Patel
$530 KL.
3%
Brandon Johnson
$3,191 KL.
12%
Lisa Cook
$3,319 KL.
10%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 KL.
11%
Joe Biden
$5,658 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on arrests before 2027 centers on lingering investigations into former U.S. officials and international figures amid active enforcement actions. Recent Epstein document releases in early 2026 triggered charges against several high-profile individuals, including Prince Andrew, while immigration enforcement under the current administration has led to detentions of Democratic lawmakers and local officials over alleged interference with federal operations. Probes involving classified materials, foreign influence, and public health policy continue to shape implied probabilities for names like John Brennan and Anthony Fauci. Scheduled court proceedings and any new indictments in the coming months could shift outcomes before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$377,493Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on arrests before 2027 centers on lingering investigations into former U.S. officials and international figures amid active enforcement actions. Recent Epstein document releases in early 2026 triggered charges against several high-profile individuals, including Prince Andrew, while immigration enforcement under the current administration has led to detentions of Democratic lawmakers and local officials over alleged interference with federal operations. Probes involving classified materials, foreign influence, and public health policy continue to shape implied probabilities for names like John Brennan and Anthony Fauci. Scheduled court proceedings and any new indictments in the coming months could shift outcomes before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$377,493Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on arrests before 2027 centers on lingering investigations into former U.S. officials and international figures amid active enforcement actions. Recent Epstein document releases in early 2026 triggered charges against several high-profile individuals, including Prince Andrew, while immigration enforcement under the current administration has led to detentions of Democratic lawmakers and local officials over alleged interference with federal operations. Probes involving classified materials, foreign influence, and public health policy continue to shape implied probabilities for names like John Brennan and Anthony Fauci. Scheduled court proceedings and any new indictments in the coming months could shift outcomes before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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