Petr Yan’s return to the octagon as bantamweight champion after his December 2025 unanimous-decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili has anchored trader consensus around a trilogy rematch. Both fighters are recovering from injuries—Yan from offseason back surgery and Dvalishvili from the title-fight wear—aligning their timelines for a potential August 2026 clash that would mark Dvalishvili’s record fourth defense attempt in a calendar year. This established rivalry and UFC scheduling signals explain the 73.5 percent implied probability for Dvalishvili, while lower-priced options such as Sean O’Malley reflect secondary contender positioning behind the Georgian’s direct path. Recent comments from Dvalishvili confirming he has been promised the next title shot further solidify the market’s focus on the rematch over other bantamweight matchups.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMerab Dvalishvili 74%
Sean O’Malley 13.2%
Umar Nurmagomedov 5.6%
Song Yadong <1%
$1,039,752 KL.
$1,039,752 KL.
Merab Dvalishvili
74%
Sean O’Malley
13%
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
Song Yadong
1%
Dominick Cruz
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 74%
Sean O’Malley 13.2%
Umar Nurmagomedov 5.6%
Song Yadong <1%
$1,039,752 KL.
$1,039,752 KL.
Merab Dvalishvili
74%
Sean O’Malley
13%
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
Song Yadong
1%
Dominick Cruz
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan’s return to the octagon as bantamweight champion after his December 2025 unanimous-decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili has anchored trader consensus around a trilogy rematch. Both fighters are recovering from injuries—Yan from offseason back surgery and Dvalishvili from the title-fight wear—aligning their timelines for a potential August 2026 clash that would mark Dvalishvili’s record fourth defense attempt in a calendar year. This established rivalry and UFC scheduling signals explain the 73.5 percent implied probability for Dvalishvili, while lower-priced options such as Sean O’Malley reflect secondary contender positioning behind the Georgian’s direct path. Recent comments from Dvalishvili confirming he has been promised the next title shot further solidify the market’s focus on the rematch over other bantamweight matchups.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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