Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign via the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) has dominated 2026 developments, with a heavy focus on purging People's Liberation Army (PLA) leadership to enforce loyalty. The most impactful event occurred in January, when top Central Military Commission (CMC) vice chairmen Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli—combat veterans—were abruptly removed, reducing the CMC to just Xi and anti-corruption overseer Zhang Shengmin, alongside ousters of nine military lawmakers in February and reports of dozens more generals detained by March. This follows CCDI's January plenum vow for intensified probes, amid concerns over military readiness for Taiwan contingencies. No major new purges in the past 30 days, but trader consensus reflects uncertainty for remaining Politburo members, Rocket Force commanders, and provincial elites ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress; watch NPC sessions and official announcements for shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$156,884 KL.
Dong Jun
11%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Wang Huning
6%
Wang Yi
6%
Ding Xuexiang
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Li Qiang
4%
Cai Qi
4%
Li Xi
2%
$156,884 KL.
Dong Jun
11%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Wang Huning
6%
Wang Yi
6%
Ding Xuexiang
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Li Qiang
4%
Cai Qi
4%
Li Xi
2%
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign via the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) has dominated 2026 developments, with a heavy focus on purging People's Liberation Army (PLA) leadership to enforce loyalty. The most impactful event occurred in January, when top Central Military Commission (CMC) vice chairmen Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli—combat veterans—were abruptly removed, reducing the CMC to just Xi and anti-corruption overseer Zhang Shengmin, alongside ousters of nine military lawmakers in February and reports of dozens more generals detained by March. This follows CCDI's January plenum vow for intensified probes, amid concerns over military readiness for Taiwan contingencies. No major new purges in the past 30 days, but trader consensus reflects uncertainty for remaining Politburo members, Rocket Force commanders, and provincial elites ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress; watch NPC sessions and official announcements for shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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