In the expanded 2026 World Cup knockout phase, the 82.5% implied probability that no team reaches three or more penalty shootouts reflects the historical rarity of any side advancing repeatedly via shootouts across multiple rounds. Strong defensive setups, set-piece execution, and extra-time resolution typically decide most ties before penalties, limiting opportunities for prolonged shootout sequences even with an added round of 32. Teams reaching later stages often mix regular-time or extra-time wins with occasional shootouts rather than relying on them consecutively, as seen in prior tournaments. While individual squads may boast penalty specialists or favorable matchups, the combination of form, fatigue, and variance across a deep run makes three-plus appearances for one team statistically uncommon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?
Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 20, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 20, 2026
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the expanded 2026 World Cup knockout phase, the 82.5% implied probability that no team reaches three or more penalty shootouts reflects the historical rarity of any side advancing repeatedly via shootouts across multiple rounds. Strong defensive setups, set-piece execution, and extra-time resolution typically decide most ties before penalties, limiting opportunities for prolonged shootout sequences even with an added round of 32. Teams reaching later stages often mix regular-time or extra-time wins with occasional shootouts rather than relying on them consecutively, as seen in prior tournaments. While individual squads may boast penalty specialists or favorable matchups, the combination of form, fatigue, and variance across a deep run makes three-plus appearances for one team statistically uncommon.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Jul 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the expanded 2026 World Cup knockout phase, the 82.5% implied probability that no team reaches three or more penalty shootouts reflects the historical rarity of any side advancing repeatedly via shootouts across multiple rounds. Strong defensive setups, set-piece execution, and extra-time resolution typically decide most ties before penalties, limiting opportunities for prolonged shootout sequences even with an added round of 32. Teams reaching later stages often mix regular-time or extra-time wins with occasional shootouts rather than relying on them consecutively, as seen in prior tournaments. While individual squads may boast penalty specialists or favorable matchups, the combination of form, fatigue, and variance across a deep run makes three-plus appearances for one team statistically uncommon.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Jul 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In the expanded 2026 World Cup knockout phase, the 82.5% implied probability that no team reaches three or more penalty shootouts reflects the historical rarity of any side advancing repeatedly via shootouts across multiple rounds. Strong defensive setups, set-piece execution, and extra-time resolution typically decide most ties before penalties, limiting opportunities for prolonged shootout sequences even with an added round of 32. Teams reaching later stages often mix regular-time or extra-time wins with occasional shootouts rather than relying on them consecutively, as seen in prior tournaments. While individual squads may boast penalty specialists or favorable matchups, the combination of form, fatigue, and variance across a deep run makes three-plus appearances for one team statistically uncommon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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