Banksy’s recent output strongly supports the 83.5% market-implied odds for a new mural or street artwork by year-end. The elusive artist confirmed multiple London pieces in 2025, including a September mural at the Royal Courts of Justice depicting a judge striking a protester and December stargazing children works near Centre Point and in Bayswater. He followed with an April 2026 sculpture in Waterloo Place showing a flag-blinded figure, verified via Instagram. These interventions align with Banksy’s established rhythm of politically charged, site-specific drops that often cluster around holidays or current events. With over six months remaining and no signs of reduced activity, traders appear to view another confirmed street piece as highly probable before the deadline.