The Seahawks' Super Bowl LX victory in February 2026 created the primary catalyst for this market, yet trader consensus heavily favors "No" due to the absence of any official White House invitation from President Trump, with the traditional offseason window closing by mid-year amid reports of no confirmed outreach. Their September game against the Commanders in the D.C. area briefly lifted implied probabilities on related platforms but produced no visit, reinforcing the current 94.5% "No" odds as a reflection of verified non-events rather than speculation. While a surprise late-year invitation remains possible given political dynamics, the strong skin-in-the-game assessment accounts for historical patterns where uninvited champions rarely reverse course after months of silence.