Current trader consensus on an 81.5% probability against a woman winning the 2028 presidential election reflects the early shape of both parties’ fields. Republican frontrunners JD Vance and Marco Rubio, along with other leading names such as Pete Hegseth, dominate early polling and betting markets, while Democratic speculation centers on Gavin Newsom, Josh Shapiro, and Pete Buttigieg. Gretchen Whitmer explicitly ruled out a bid in May 2026, and Kamala Harris’s standing has declined after her 2024 loss. The limited number of prominent female contenders with national profiles or clear paths through primaries, combined with historical general-election results for women nominees, supports the current implied odds. No major candidate announcements or shifts have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$11,755 KL.
$11,755 KL.
Nov 7, 2028
$11,755 KL.
$11,755 KL.
Nov 7, 2028
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Current trader consensus on an 81.5% probability against a woman winning the 2028 presidential election reflects the early shape of both parties’ fields. Republican frontrunners JD Vance and Marco Rubio, along with other leading names such as Pete Hegseth, dominate early polling and betting markets, while Democratic speculation centers on Gavin Newsom, Josh Shapiro, and Pete Buttigieg. Gretchen Whitmer explicitly ruled out a bid in May 2026, and Kamala Harris’s standing has declined after her 2024 loss. The limited number of prominent female contenders with national profiles or clear paths through primaries, combined with historical general-election results for women nominees, supports the current implied odds. No major candidate announcements or shifts have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Thị trường mở: Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,755Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2028Thị trường mở
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Current trader consensus on an 81.5% probability against a woman winning the 2028 presidential election reflects the early shape of both parties’ fields. Republican frontrunners JD Vance and Marco Rubio, along with other leading names such as Pete Hegseth, dominate early polling and betting markets, while Democratic speculation centers on Gavin Newsom, Josh Shapiro, and Pete Buttigieg. Gretchen Whitmer explicitly ruled out a bid in May 2026, and Kamala Harris’s standing has declined after her 2024 loss. The limited number of prominent female contenders with national profiles or clear paths through primaries, combined with historical general-election results for women nominees, supports the current implied odds. No major candidate announcements or shifts have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Khối lượng
$11,755Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2028Thị trường mở
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Current trader consensus on an 81.5% probability against a woman winning the 2028 presidential election reflects the early shape of both parties’ fields. Republican frontrunners JD Vance and Marco Rubio, along with other leading names such as Pete Hegseth, dominate early polling and betting markets, while Democratic speculation centers on Gavin Newsom, Josh Shapiro, and Pete Buttigieg. Gretchen Whitmer explicitly ruled out a bid in May 2026, and Kamala Harris’s standing has declined after her 2024 loss. The limited number of prominent female contenders with national profiles or clear paths through primaries, combined with historical general-election results for women nominees, supports the current implied odds. No major candidate announcements or shifts have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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