Early frontrunner positioning by male candidates such as California Governor Gavin Newsom, who leads national polling averages and secured a major May endorsement from a top donor, has anchored trader consensus on a male 2028 Democratic nominee. Recent signals from former Vice President Kamala Harris about considering another run and sustained visibility for Governor Gretchen Whitmer have kept the female option in play, yet both trail in early surveys and market pricing amid party reflection on prior cycles. The wide-open field, with figures like Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg also active, reinforces uncertainty while current implied probabilities reflect the structural edge for men at this stage. Scheduled 2026 midterm results and primary polling shifts could alter the balance before formal declarations accelerate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Nov 7, 2028
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 7, 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Early frontrunner positioning by male candidates such as California Governor Gavin Newsom, who leads national polling averages and secured a major May endorsement from a top donor, has anchored trader consensus on a male 2028 Democratic nominee. Recent signals from former Vice President Kamala Harris about considering another run and sustained visibility for Governor Gretchen Whitmer have kept the female option in play, yet both trail in early surveys and market pricing amid party reflection on prior cycles. The wide-open field, with figures like Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg also active, reinforces uncertainty while current implied probabilities reflect the structural edge for men at this stage. Scheduled 2026 midterm results and primary polling shifts could alter the balance before formal declarations accelerate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,187Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2028Thị trường mở
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Early frontrunner positioning by male candidates such as California Governor Gavin Newsom, who leads national polling averages and secured a major May endorsement from a top donor, has anchored trader consensus on a male 2028 Democratic nominee. Recent signals from former Vice President Kamala Harris about considering another run and sustained visibility for Governor Gretchen Whitmer have kept the female option in play, yet both trail in early surveys and market pricing amid party reflection on prior cycles. The wide-open field, with figures like Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg also active, reinforces uncertainty while current implied probabilities reflect the structural edge for men at this stage. Scheduled 2026 midterm results and primary polling shifts could alter the balance before formal declarations accelerate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$1,187Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2028Thị trường mở
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Early frontrunner positioning by male candidates such as California Governor Gavin Newsom, who leads national polling averages and secured a major May endorsement from a top donor, has anchored trader consensus on a male 2028 Democratic nominee. Recent signals from former Vice President Kamala Harris about considering another run and sustained visibility for Governor Gretchen Whitmer have kept the female option in play, yet both trail in early surveys and market pricing amid party reflection on prior cycles. The wide-open field, with figures like Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg also active, reinforces uncertainty while current implied probabilities reflect the structural edge for men at this stage. Scheduled 2026 midterm results and primary polling shifts could alter the balance before formal declarations accelerate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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