The 2028 Democratic primary field remains highly fragmented in June 2026, with early national polls showing Kamala Harris leading but closely trailed by men including Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Josh Shapiro, and J.B. Pritzker. This depth of male governors and senators, combined with limited momentum for other women such as Gretchen Whitmer or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, underpins trader consensus favoring a male nominee. No major candidate declarations or post-2024 shifts have consolidated support around female contenders, while upcoming 2026 midterms and initial fundraising reports could further test electability dynamics ahead of primary voting. Market pricing at roughly 68.5% for no woman nominee reflects this broad bench and absence of a dominant female frontrunner.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Nov 7, 2028
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 7, 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic primary field remains highly fragmented in June 2026, with early national polls showing Kamala Harris leading but closely trailed by men including Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Josh Shapiro, and J.B. Pritzker. This depth of male governors and senators, combined with limited momentum for other women such as Gretchen Whitmer or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, underpins trader consensus favoring a male nominee. No major candidate declarations or post-2024 shifts have consolidated support around female contenders, while upcoming 2026 midterms and initial fundraising reports could further test electability dynamics ahead of primary voting. Market pricing at roughly 68.5% for no woman nominee reflects this broad bench and absence of a dominant female frontrunner.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,064Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2028Thị trường mở
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic primary field remains highly fragmented in June 2026, with early national polls showing Kamala Harris leading but closely trailed by men including Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Josh Shapiro, and J.B. Pritzker. This depth of male governors and senators, combined with limited momentum for other women such as Gretchen Whitmer or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, underpins trader consensus favoring a male nominee. No major candidate declarations or post-2024 shifts have consolidated support around female contenders, while upcoming 2026 midterms and initial fundraising reports could further test electability dynamics ahead of primary voting. Market pricing at roughly 68.5% for no woman nominee reflects this broad bench and absence of a dominant female frontrunner.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$3,064Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2028Thị trường mở
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2028 Democratic primary field remains highly fragmented in June 2026, with early national polls showing Kamala Harris leading but closely trailed by men including Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Josh Shapiro, and J.B. Pritzker. This depth of male governors and senators, combined with limited momentum for other women such as Gretchen Whitmer or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, underpins trader consensus favoring a male nominee. No major candidate declarations or post-2024 shifts have consolidated support around female contenders, while upcoming 2026 midterms and initial fundraising reports could further test electability dynamics ahead of primary voting. Market pricing at roughly 68.5% for no woman nominee reflects this broad bench and absence of a dominant female frontrunner.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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