Recent qualification results position the play-off survivors—Türkiye, Czechia, Sweden, and Bosnia and Herzegovina—alongside Norway and Switzerland as the primary candidates for the weakest UEFA finish at the expanded 2026 World Cup. These sides advanced through high-stakes March shootouts and narrow victories after inconsistent Nations League and qualifier campaigns, leaving them with limited preparation time and thinner squads compared to direct group winners like France or England. Early group-stage fixtures have already highlighted vulnerabilities for several of these teams against stronger non-European opponents, reinforcing trader consensus around their lower table projections. Stronger UEFA nations carry negligible implied probabilities of finishing last due to superior depth and historical consistency in major tournaments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNorway 29%
Czechia 26%
Switzerland 23.6%
Austria 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
Austria
12%
Belgium
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9%
Croatia
7%
Czechia
22%
England
2%
France
5%
Germany
1%
Netherlands
2%
Norway
29%
Portugal
5%
Scotland
5%
Spain
1%
Sweden
4%
Switzerland
24%
Türkiye
30%
Norway 29%
Czechia 26%
Switzerland 23.6%
Austria 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
Austria
$251 KL.
12%
Belgium
$68 KL.
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
$283 KL.
9%
Croatia
$163 KL.
7%
Czechia
$265 KL.
22%
England
$358 KL.
2%
France
$18 KL.
5%
Germany
$300 KL.
1%
Netherlands
$127 KL.
2%
Norway
$137 KL.
29%
Portugal
$11 KL.
5%
Scotland
$409 KL.
5%
Spain
$148 KL.
1%
Sweden
$1,084 KL.
4%
Switzerland
$117 KL.
24%
Türkiye
$207 KL.
30%
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent qualification results position the play-off survivors—Türkiye, Czechia, Sweden, and Bosnia and Herzegovina—alongside Norway and Switzerland as the primary candidates for the weakest UEFA finish at the expanded 2026 World Cup. These sides advanced through high-stakes March shootouts and narrow victories after inconsistent Nations League and qualifier campaigns, leaving them with limited preparation time and thinner squads compared to direct group winners like France or England. Early group-stage fixtures have already highlighted vulnerabilities for several of these teams against stronger non-European opponents, reinforcing trader consensus around their lower table projections. Stronger UEFA nations carry negligible implied probabilities of finishing last due to superior depth and historical consistency in major tournaments.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,938Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent qualification results position the play-off survivors—Türkiye, Czechia, Sweden, and Bosnia and Herzegovina—alongside Norway and Switzerland as the primary candidates for the weakest UEFA finish at the expanded 2026 World Cup. These sides advanced through high-stakes March shootouts and narrow victories after inconsistent Nations League and qualifier campaigns, leaving them with limited preparation time and thinner squads compared to direct group winners like France or England. Early group-stage fixtures have already highlighted vulnerabilities for several of these teams against stronger non-European opponents, reinforcing trader consensus around their lower table projections. Stronger UEFA nations carry negligible implied probabilities of finishing last due to superior depth and historical consistency in major tournaments.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$3,938Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent qualification results position the play-off survivors—Türkiye, Czechia, Sweden, and Bosnia and Herzegovina—alongside Norway and Switzerland as the primary candidates for the weakest UEFA finish at the expanded 2026 World Cup. These sides advanced through high-stakes March shootouts and narrow victories after inconsistent Nations League and qualifier campaigns, leaving them with limited preparation time and thinner squads compared to direct group winners like France or England. Early group-stage fixtures have already highlighted vulnerabilities for several of these teams against stronger non-European opponents, reinforcing trader consensus around their lower table projections. Stronger UEFA nations carry negligible implied probabilities of finishing last due to superior depth and historical consistency in major tournaments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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