Team lineups confirmed in early August place the United States atop the Open seeding with a narrow edge in average rating, followed closely by defending champions India, host nation Uzbekistan, and China. These four squads sit within a small Elo gap on paper, with the U.S. featuring Caruana, So, Niemann, and Aronian, India shifting its world champion to a lower board, Uzbekistan leveraging home soil and depth, and China fielding a competitive but less star-studded roster. Russia’s exclusion further concentrates strength among the leaders. Over eleven rounds in Samarkand, small rating differences, board-order matchups, and tiebreak scenarios keep implied probabilities tightly bunched, with traders assigning India the slight plurality at 28 percent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於India 28%
Uzbekistan 24%
United States of America 22%
China 8%
India
28%
Uzbekistan
24%
United States of America
22%
China
8%
Armenia
5%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Spain
4%
Georgia
4%
Netherlands
3%
Ukraine
3%
Poland
3%
Hungary
3%
France
3%
Serbia
3%
Vietnam
2%
Bulgaria
2%
England
2%
Turkiye
2%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
1%
Sweden
<1%
Iran
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
India 28%
Uzbekistan 24%
United States of America 22%
China 8%
India
28%
Uzbekistan
24%
United States of America
22%
China
8%
Armenia
5%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Spain
4%
Georgia
4%
Netherlands
3%
Ukraine
3%
Poland
3%
Hungary
3%
France
3%
Serbia
3%
Vietnam
2%
Bulgaria
2%
England
2%
Turkiye
2%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
1%
Sweden
<1%
Iran
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Team lineups confirmed in early August place the United States atop the Open seeding with a narrow edge in average rating, followed closely by defending champions India, host nation Uzbekistan, and China. These four squads sit within a small Elo gap on paper, with the U.S. featuring Caruana, So, Niemann, and Aronian, India shifting its world champion to a lower board, Uzbekistan leveraging home soil and depth, and China fielding a competitive but less star-studded roster. Russia’s exclusion further concentrates strength among the leaders. Over eleven rounds in Samarkand, small rating differences, board-order matchups, and tiebreak scenarios keep implied probabilities tightly bunched, with traders assigning India the slight plurality at 28 percent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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