Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan primary features incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan facing Democrat Mary Peltola and a crowded field that includes lesser-known candidates and a same-name Republican entrant. Recent polling averages place Peltola and Sullivan within a few points of each other heading into the top-four cutoff that advances contenders to the ranked-choice general election, reflecting Peltola's strong name recognition from her prior statewide win and Sullivan's incumbency in a state that has favored Republicans. Trader pricing on narrow victory margins stems from this competitive positioning, limited late polling specific to the primary, and uncertainty over turnout patterns among independent and crossover voters. Any final shifts could arise from election-day mobilization, ballot-position effects, or the resolution of lingering disputes over candidate eligibility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於佩爾托拉 3–6% 41%
Peltola 少於 3% 21%
佩爾托拉6–9% 18%
沙利文少於3% 8%
$10,587 交易量
$10,587 交易量
2026-08-18
佩爾托拉15％以上
2%
佩爾托拉12–15%
5%
佩爾托拉9–12%
6%
佩爾托拉6–9%
18%
佩爾托拉 3–6%
41%
Peltola 少於 3%
21%
沙利文少於3%
8%
沙利文3–6%
1%
Sullivan 6–9%
2%
Sullivan 9–12%
1%
Sullivan 12%+
1%
佩爾托拉 3–6% 41%
Peltola 少於 3% 21%
佩爾托拉6–9% 18%
沙利文少於3% 8%
$10,587 交易量
$10,587 交易量
2026-08-18
佩爾托拉15％以上
$200 交易量
2%
佩爾托拉12–15%
$159 交易量
5%
佩爾托拉9–12%
$159 交易量
6%
佩爾托拉6–9%
$479 交易量
18%
佩爾托拉 3–6%
$6,366 交易量
41%
Peltola 少於 3%
$979 交易量
21%
沙利文少於3%
$366 交易量
8%
沙利文3–6%
$773 交易量
1%
Sullivan 6–9%
$438 交易量
2%
Sullivan 9–12%
$332 交易量
1%
Sullivan 12%+
$337 交易量
1%
The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan primary features incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan facing Democrat Mary Peltola and a crowded field that includes lesser-known candidates and a same-name Republican entrant. Recent polling averages place Peltola and Sullivan within a few points of each other heading into the top-four cutoff that advances contenders to the ranked-choice general election, reflecting Peltola's strong name recognition from her prior statewide win and Sullivan's incumbency in a state that has favored Republicans. Trader pricing on narrow victory margins stems from this competitive positioning, limited late polling specific to the primary, and uncertainty over turnout patterns among independent and crossover voters. Any final shifts could arise from election-day mobilization, ballot-position effects, or the resolution of lingering disputes over candidate eligibility.
The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
交易量
$10,587結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan primary features incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan facing Democrat Mary Peltola and a crowded field that includes lesser-known candidates and a same-name Republican entrant. Recent polling averages place Peltola and Sullivan within a few points of each other heading into the top-four cutoff that advances contenders to the ranked-choice general election, reflecting Peltola's strong name recognition from her prior statewide win and Sullivan's incumbency in a state that has favored Republicans. Trader pricing on narrow victory margins stems from this competitive positioning, limited late polling specific to the primary, and uncertainty over turnout patterns among independent and crossover voters. Any final shifts could arise from election-day mobilization, ballot-position effects, or the resolution of lingering disputes over candidate eligibility.
The non-partisan primary election for US Senator from Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Senator from Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$10,587結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan primary features incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan facing Democrat Mary Peltola and a crowded field that includes lesser-known candidates and a same-name Republican entrant. Recent polling averages place Peltola and Sullivan within a few points of each other heading into the top-four cutoff that advances contenders to the ranked-choice general election, reflecting Peltola's strong name recognition from her prior statewide win and Sullivan's incumbency in a state that has favored Republicans. Trader pricing on narrow victory margins stems from this competitive positioning, limited late polling specific to the primary, and uncertainty over turnout patterns among independent and crossover voters. Any final shifts could arise from election-day mobilization, ballot-position effects, or the resolution of lingering disputes over candidate eligibility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions