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萬斯 預測與賠率

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JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...?

8%

December 31

$192K 交易量

$134K Liq.

3

Ends 6 個月內

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

2%

June 30

$169K 交易量

$11.7K Liq.

10

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

11%

$59.3K 交易量

$20.7K Liq.

2

Ends 6 個月內

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

19%

$13.3K 交易量

$15.9K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

1%

Any U.S. House member

$17M 交易量

$1M today

$333K Liq.

11

Ends 大約 16 小時內

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$641M 交易量

$419K today

$38M Liq.

976

Ends 超過 2 年內

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

38%

J.D. Vance

$666M 交易量

$215K today

$47M Liq.

429

Ends 超過 2 年內

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

17%

J.D. Vance

$773K 交易量

$1M Liq.

18

Ends 6 個月內

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

20%

Jimmy Kimmel

$1M 交易量

$120K Liq.

Ends 大約 16 小時內

Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

4%

Steve Witkoff

$887K 交易量

$566K Liq.

32

Ends 9 天內

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

9%

Mohammed bin Salman

$2M 交易量

$607K Liq.

60

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

44%

Qatar

$409K 交易量

$177K today

$622K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

98%

Donald Trump

$220K 交易量

$80.0K Liq.

7

Ends 9 天內

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

70%

July 31

$784K 交易量

$244K today

$196K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace by August 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace by August 31?

83%

Jared Kushner

$17.1K 交易量

$135K Liq.

1

Ends 2 個月內

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

7%

Sean Duffy

$5.5K 交易量

$76.7K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

28%

Marco Rubio

$18.9K 交易量

$726K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 年內

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

1%

Marco Rubio

$193K 交易量

$32.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 16 小時內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 18 active markets for 萬斯 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “JD Vance out as VP by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 38% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 萬斯 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.