The wide-open 2028 Republican vice-presidential market reflects uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee, with trader consensus pricing Marco Rubio highest due to his Senate experience, current role as secretary of state, and rising visibility in early 2028 presidential speculation. Nikki Haley benefits from her national profile and establishment ties, while Thomas Massie draws support from libertarian-leaning factions critical of foreign entanglements. J.D. Vance trails despite his vice-presidential incumbency, as traders weigh whether the sitting president would select the same partner or opt for geographic or ideological balance. Other names like Marjorie Taylor Greene and Rand Paul capture niche donor or activist sentiment but face structural barriers in a convention setting. Consolidation behind any single contender would likely hinge on the presidential frontrunner’s preferences, Senate dynamics, 2026 midterm results, and late-cycle polling shifts that clarify coalition needs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Marco Rubio 30%
Nikki Haley 15.8%
Thomas Massie 11.1%
J.D. Vance 8%
$33,243 交易量
$33,243 交易量
Donald Trump
3%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marco Rubio
30%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Nikki Haley
16%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2%
Brian Kemp
5%
Byron Donalds
2%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
1%
Elon Musk
2%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
3%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
5%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
5%
Thomas Massie
11%
Eric Trump
1%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Marco Rubio 30%
Nikki Haley 15.8%
Thomas Massie 11.1%
J.D. Vance 8%
$33,243 交易量
$33,243 交易量
Donald Trump
3%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marco Rubio
30%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Nikki Haley
16%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2%
Brian Kemp
5%
Byron Donalds
2%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
1%
Elon Musk
2%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
3%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
5%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
5%
Thomas Massie
11%
Eric Trump
1%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The wide-open 2028 Republican vice-presidential market reflects uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee, with trader consensus pricing Marco Rubio highest due to his Senate experience, current role as secretary of state, and rising visibility in early 2028 presidential speculation. Nikki Haley benefits from her national profile and establishment ties, while Thomas Massie draws support from libertarian-leaning factions critical of foreign entanglements. J.D. Vance trails despite his vice-presidential incumbency, as traders weigh whether the sitting president would select the same partner or opt for geographic or ideological balance. Other names like Marjorie Taylor Greene and Rand Paul capture niche donor or activist sentiment but face structural barriers in a convention setting. Consolidation behind any single contender would likely hinge on the presidential frontrunner’s preferences, Senate dynamics, 2026 midterm results, and late-cycle polling shifts that clarify coalition needs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions