The wide-open 2028 Republican presidential field has left the vice-presidential nomination market fragmented, with no clear frontrunner or presumptive nominee to anchor early positioning. Marco Rubio leads trader consensus due to his Senate tenure, foreign-policy experience, and repeated alignment with party leadership on key legislative priorities, while Nikki Haley draws support from her executive record and national profile. Thomas Massie and J.D. Vance reflect distinct ideological lanes—libertarian-leaning restraint versus populist alignment—that could consolidate if early primary polling or endorsements from viable presidential contenders clarify the ticket’s direction. Absent major 2026 mid-term shifts, confirmation hearings, or high-profile campaign events, probabilities remain sensitive to any single candidate’s momentum in Senate races or state-level positioning that could narrow the field before the convention.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Marco Rubio 30%
Nikki Haley 14.5%
Thomas Massie 11.5%
J.D. Vance 8%
$33,223 交易量
$33,223 交易量
Donald Trump
3%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marco Rubio
30%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Nikki Haley
15%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2%
Brian Kemp
4%
Byron Donalds
3%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
2%
Elon Musk
2%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
4%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
6%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
5%
Thomas Massie
11%
Eric Trump
1%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Marco Rubio 30%
Nikki Haley 14.5%
Thomas Massie 11.5%
J.D. Vance 8%
$33,223 交易量
$33,223 交易量
Donald Trump
3%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marco Rubio
30%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Nikki Haley
15%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2%
Brian Kemp
4%
Byron Donalds
3%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
2%
Elon Musk
2%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
4%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
6%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
5%
Thomas Massie
11%
Eric Trump
1%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The wide-open 2028 Republican presidential field has left the vice-presidential nomination market fragmented, with no clear frontrunner or presumptive nominee to anchor early positioning. Marco Rubio leads trader consensus due to his Senate tenure, foreign-policy experience, and repeated alignment with party leadership on key legislative priorities, while Nikki Haley draws support from her executive record and national profile. Thomas Massie and J.D. Vance reflect distinct ideological lanes—libertarian-leaning restraint versus populist alignment—that could consolidate if early primary polling or endorsements from viable presidential contenders clarify the ticket’s direction. Absent major 2026 mid-term shifts, confirmation hearings, or high-profile campaign events, probabilities remain sensitive to any single candidate’s momentum in Senate races or state-level positioning that could narrow the field before the convention.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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