Recent redistricting by the Florida legislature and Governor DeSantis, signed into law in May 2026 and upheld by the state Supreme Court in June, has produced a map projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican advantage based on 2024 voting patterns. This structural shift from the prior 20-8 balance underpins trader emphasis on outcomes near four Democratic seats while leaving room for modest overperformance in targeted districts such as those held by incumbents like Maxwell Frost and Debbie Wasserman Schultz. Competitive races remain limited by the new lines, with few analysts rating more than a handful as battlegrounds; national midterm dynamics, turnout differentials, and candidate recruitment could still influence final results within the 4-to-8 range that currently clusters the highest probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7 26%
4 13.6%
12+ 13%
6 12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於4席
1%
4
14%
5
10%
6
12%
7
26%
8
11%
9
8%
10
9%
11
7%
12+
13%
7 26%
4 13.6%
12+ 13%
6 12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於4席
$167 交易量
1%
4
$1,036 交易量
14%
5
$365 交易量
10%
6
$173 交易量
12%
7
$310 交易量
26%
8
$202 交易量
11%
9
$138 交易量
8%
10
$249 交易量
9%
11
$180 交易量
7%
12+
$141 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent redistricting by the Florida legislature and Governor DeSantis, signed into law in May 2026 and upheld by the state Supreme Court in June, has produced a map projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican advantage based on 2024 voting patterns. This structural shift from the prior 20-8 balance underpins trader emphasis on outcomes near four Democratic seats while leaving room for modest overperformance in targeted districts such as those held by incumbents like Maxwell Frost and Debbie Wasserman Schultz. Competitive races remain limited by the new lines, with few analysts rating more than a handful as battlegrounds; national midterm dynamics, turnout differentials, and candidate recruitment could still influence final results within the 4-to-8 range that currently clusters the highest probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
交易量
$2,960結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent redistricting by the Florida legislature and Governor DeSantis, signed into law in May 2026 and upheld by the state Supreme Court in June, has produced a map projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican advantage based on 2024 voting patterns. This structural shift from the prior 20-8 balance underpins trader emphasis on outcomes near four Democratic seats while leaving room for modest overperformance in targeted districts such as those held by incumbents like Maxwell Frost and Debbie Wasserman Schultz. Competitive races remain limited by the new lines, with few analysts rating more than a handful as battlegrounds; national midterm dynamics, turnout differentials, and candidate recruitment could still influence final results within the 4-to-8 range that currently clusters the highest probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,960結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent redistricting by the Florida legislature and Governor DeSantis, signed into law in May 2026 and upheld by the state Supreme Court in June, has produced a map projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican advantage based on 2024 voting patterns. This structural shift from the prior 20-8 balance underpins trader emphasis on outcomes near four Democratic seats while leaving room for modest overperformance in targeted districts such as those held by incumbents like Maxwell Frost and Debbie Wasserman Schultz. Competitive races remain limited by the new lines, with few analysts rating more than a handful as battlegrounds; national midterm dynamics, turnout differentials, and candidate recruitment could still influence final results within the 4-to-8 range that currently clusters the highest probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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