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特朗普 預測與賠率

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誰將被確認為聯儲局主席?

誰將被確認為聯儲局主席?

100%

Kevin Warsh

$64M 交易量

$5M today

$10M Liq.

113

Ends 6 個月內

美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?

美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?

63%

12月31日

$112M 交易量

$2M today

$3M Liq.

2,248

Ends 8 個月內

傑弗裏·愛潑斯坦的犯規... ?

傑弗裏·愛潑斯坦的犯規... ?

7%

2026年12月31日

$2M 交易量

$1M today

$12.0K Liq.

51

Ends 8 個月內

特朗普和習近平會在峯會上親吻嗎?

特朗普和習近平會在峯會上親吻嗎?

1%

$1M 交易量

$970K today

$272K Liq.

57

Ends 1 天內

愛潑斯坦自殺筆記本由...發布?

愛潑斯坦自殺筆記本由...發布?

10%

5月31日

$14M 交易量

$675K today

$7M Liq.

504

Ends 17 天內

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

2%

$636K 交易量

$518K today

$21.5K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

特朗普在與習近平的雙邊活動中會說什麼?

特朗普在與習近平的雙邊活動中會說什麼?

85%

Ship / Chip

$450K 交易量

$339K today

$143K Liq.

27

Ends 1 天內

美國x伊朗的外交會議在... ?

美國x伊朗的外交會議在... ?

60%

6月30日

$36M 交易量

$331K today

$344K Liq.

6

Ends 14 天前

特朗普宣布美國解除對霍爾木茲的封鎖... ?

特朗普宣布美國解除對霍爾木茲的封鎖... ?

51%

6月30日

$17M 交易量

$246K today

$294K Liq.

443

Ends 大約 2 個月內

傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席?

傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席?

100%

6月30日

$5M 交易量

$233K today

$292K Liq.

102

Ends 大約 3 小時內

美國會在2027年之前入侵伊朗嗎?

美國會在2027年之前入侵伊朗嗎?

28%

$28M 交易量

$233K today

$967K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

俄羅斯x烏克蘭停火協議由... ?

俄羅斯x烏克蘭停火協議由... ?

44%

12月31日

$193K 交易量

$193K today

$376K Liq.

19

Ends 8 個月內

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

100%

Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company

$236K 交易量

$185K today

$166K Liq.

15

Ends 3 天內

美國通過...獲得伊朗濃縮鈾?

美國通過...獲得伊朗濃縮鈾?

27%

12月31日

$13M 交易量

$140K today

$386K Liq.

143

Ends 8 個月內

特朗普和習近平見面時會握手多久?

特朗普和習近平見面時會握手多久?

52%

15秒以上

$280K 交易量

$140K today

$112K Liq.

25

Ends 8 個月內

在Kevin Warsh被確認之前會發生什麼?

在Kevin Warsh被確認之前會發生什麼?

<1%

聯準會降息

$736K 交易量

$132K today

$169K Liq.

3

Ends 6 個月內

有多少參議員會投票支持特朗普的聯準會主席提名人?

有多少參議員會投票支持特朗普的聯準會主席提名人?

97%

54

$192K 交易量

$126K today

$152K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

委內瑞拉領導人2026年底?

委內瑞拉領導人2026年底?

63%

尼古拉斯·馬杜羅

$88M 交易量

$120K today

$1M Liq.

331

Ends 8 個月內

到5月31日,特朗普會同意伊朗的哪些要求?

到5月31日,特朗普會同意伊朗的哪些要求?

15%

石油制裁解除

$960K 交易量

$115K today

$203K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

比爾克林頓在6月30日前離婚?

比爾克林頓在6月30日前離婚?

2%

$568K 交易量

$95.8K today

$16.2K Liq.

15

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 特朗普.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for 特朗普 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “誰將被確認為聯儲局主席?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $384.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “特朗普和習近平會在峯會上親吻嗎?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 63% chance to 12月31日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 特朗普 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.