Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$352,961 交易量
唐納德·布羅迪
52¢
馬特·蓋茲
46¢
丹尼爾·潘尼
43¢
斯特凡·布羅迪
31¢
羅傑·史東
18¢
Keonne Rodriguez
28¢
Ryan Salame
16¢
羅傑·費爾
16¢
馬丁·施克雷利
18¢
史蒂夫·班農
14¢
伊麗莎白·霍姆斯
18¢
埃里克·亞當斯
10¢
喬·埃克索蒂克
9¢
Diddy
7¢
朱利安·阿桑奇
7¢
愛德華·斯諾登
6¢
尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
6¢
亨特·拜登
6¢
自己
6¢
山姆·班克曼-弗里德
5¢
吉斯蘭·麥克斯韋爾
5¢
德瑞克·蕭文
4¢
安托萬·馬西
7¢
鮑勃·梅嫩德茲
13¢
伊隆·馬斯克
3¢
Young Thug
3¢
Do Kwon
1¢
$352,961 交易量
唐納德·布羅迪
52¢
馬特·蓋茲
46¢
丹尼爾·潘尼
43¢
斯特凡·布羅迪
31¢
羅傑·史東
18¢
Keonne Rodriguez
28¢
Ryan Salame
16¢
羅傑·費爾
16¢
馬丁·施克雷利
18¢
史蒂夫·班農
14¢
伊麗莎白·霍姆斯
18¢
埃里克·亞當斯
10¢
喬·埃克索蒂克
9¢
Diddy
7¢
朱利安·阿桑奇
7¢
愛德華·斯諾登
6¢
尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
6¢
亨特·拜登
6¢
自己
6¢
山姆·班克曼-弗里德
5¢
吉斯蘭·麥克斯韋爾
5¢
德瑞克·蕭文
4¢
安托萬·馬西
7¢
鮑勃·梅嫩德茲
13¢
伊隆·馬斯克
3¢
Young Thug
3¢
Do Kwon
1¢
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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