Skip to main content
icon for 特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?

特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?

icon for 特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?

特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?

$352,961 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$352,961 交易量

Polymarket

唐納德·布羅迪

$15 交易量

52¢

馬特·蓋茲

$37 交易量

46¢

丹尼爾·潘尼

$119 交易量

43¢

斯特凡·布羅迪

$145 交易量

31¢

羅傑·史東

$564 交易量

18¢

Keonne Rodriguez

$10,236 交易量

28¢

Ryan Salame

$22,787 交易量

16¢

羅傑·費爾

$669 交易量

16¢

馬丁·施克雷利

$29,084 交易量

18¢

史蒂夫·班農

$7,731 交易量

14¢

伊麗莎白·霍姆斯

$1,445 交易量

18¢

埃里克·亞當斯

$550 交易量

10¢

喬·埃克索蒂克

$352 交易量

Diddy

$16,707 交易量

朱利安·阿桑奇

$1,846 交易量

愛德華·斯諾登

$1,906 交易量

尼古拉斯·馬杜羅

$8,585 交易量

亨特·拜登

$2,626 交易量

自己

$9,080 交易量

山姆·班克曼-弗里德

$123,469 交易量

吉斯蘭·麥克斯韋爾

$17,168 交易量

德瑞克·蕭文

$19,003 交易量

安托萬·馬西

$0 交易量

鮑勃·梅嫩德茲

$157 交易量

13¢

伊隆·馬斯克

$51,795 交易量

Young Thug

$4,281 交易量

Do Kwon

$22,604 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$352,961
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$352,961
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 27 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "唐納德·布羅迪" at 52%, followed by "馬特·蓋茲" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?" has generated $353K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?," browse the 27 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?" is "唐納德·布羅迪" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬特·蓋茲" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.