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icon for 特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?

特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?

icon for 特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?

特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?

$440,338 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$440,338 交易量

Polymarket

Ryan Salame

$29,925 交易量

25%

唐納德·布羅迪

$1,875 交易量

23%

羅傑·史東

$4,232 交易量

23%

斯特凡·布羅迪

$2,642 交易量

23%

馬特·蓋茲

$3,877 交易量

21%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,520 交易量

15%

史蒂夫·班農

$8,024 交易量

12%

Young Thug

$4,462 交易量

11%

丹尼爾·潘尼

$508 交易量

11%

喬·埃克索蒂克

$5,369 交易量

9%

埃里克·亞當斯

$1,101 交易量

9%

羅傑·費爾

$1,617 交易量

8%

安德魯·泰特

$834 交易量

6%

朱利安·阿桑奇

$3,557 交易量

6%

鮑勃·梅嫩德茲

$295 交易量

6%

尼古拉斯·馬杜羅

$9,491 交易量

6%

馬丁·施克雷利

$29,723 交易量

6%

德瑞克·蕭文

$25,110 交易量

5%

Diddy

$29,846 交易量

5%

吉斯蘭·麥克斯韋爾

$22,824 交易量

5%

愛德華·斯諾登

$3,163 交易量

4%

伊麗莎白·霍姆斯

$3,571 交易量

4%

山姆·班克曼-弗里德

$132,628 交易量

3%

安托萬·馬西

$2,480 交易量

3%

自己

$13,643 交易量

3%

Do Kwon

$23,620 交易量

3%

亨特·拜登

$5,483 交易量

3%

伊隆·馬斯克

$52,917 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised broad clemency authority since January 2025, issuing over 1,700 grants including blanket pardons and commutations for January 6 defendants on his first day in office, plus subsequent actions favoring political allies, donors, and individuals with connections to administration insiders or lobbyists. Traditional DOJ review has largely been bypassed in favor of direct White House access, resulting in pardons for white-collar offenders, drug cases, and figures tied to 2020 election matters. Recent grants in 2026 have continued this pattern amid discussions of larger batches tied to the semiquincentennial. With midterms approaching and appeals ongoing for some associates, trader focus centers on which additional names with demonstrated access or alignment could receive relief before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$440,338
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised broad clemency authority since January 2025, issuing over 1,700 grants including blanket pardons and commutations for January 6 defendants on his first day in office, plus subsequent actions favoring political allies, donors, and individuals with connections to administration insiders or lobbyists. Traditional DOJ review has largely been bypassed in favor of direct White House access, resulting in pardons for white-collar offenders, drug cases, and figures tied to 2020 election matters. Recent grants in 2026 have continued this pattern amid discussions of larger batches tied to the semiquincentennial. With midterms approaching and appeals ongoing for some associates, trader focus centers on which additional names with demonstrated access or alignment could receive relief before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$440,338
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ryan Salame" at 25%, followed by "唐納德·布羅迪" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?" has generated $440.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?" is "Ryan Salame" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "唐納德·布羅迪" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.