特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？

Name: 特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？
Start: 2025-11-18T15:59:41.831Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？ — 討論

sambos · 2025-11-18T15:59:41.831Z

關於特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

$219,062 交易量

2026-12-31

唐納德·布羅迪

$0 交易量

51%

馬特·蓋茲

$37 交易量

49%

丹尼爾·潘尼

$11 交易量

43%

Keonne Rodriguez

$9,371 交易量

35%

鮑勃·梅嫩德茲

$108 交易量

36%

史蒂夫·班農

$6,792 交易量

27%

埃里克·亞當斯

$106 交易量

30%

Ryan Salame

$15,206 交易量

14%

朱利安·阿桑奇

$1,550 交易量

19%

吉斯蘭·麥克斯韋爾

$13,573 交易量

13%

Diddy

$7,849 交易量

19%

伊麗莎白·霍姆斯

$1,130 交易量

10%

尼古拉斯·馬杜羅

$6,768 交易量

10%

山姆·班克曼-弗里德

$36,621 交易量

自己

$3,978 交易量

喬·埃克索蒂克

$330 交易量

Do Kwon

$16,325 交易量

愛德華·斯諾登

$1,755 交易量

馬丁·施克雷利

$22,458 交易量

德瑞克·蕭文

$18,473 交易量

安托萬·馬西

$0 交易量

Young Thug

$4,269 交易量

亨特·拜登

$2,046 交易量

伊隆·馬斯克

$49,873 交易量

羅傑·費爾

$418 交易量

35%

羅傑·史東

$0 交易量

46%

斯特凡·布羅迪

$16 交易量

49%

$219,062 交易量

唐納德·布羅迪

$0 交易量

51%

馬特·蓋茲

$37 交易量

49%

丹尼爾·潘尼

$11 交易量

43%

Keonne Rodriguez

$9,371 交易量

35%

鮑勃·梅嫩德茲

$108 交易量

36%

史蒂夫·班農

$6,792 交易量

27%

埃里克·亞當斯

$106 交易量

30%

Ryan Salame

$15,206 交易量

14%

朱利安·阿桑奇

$1,550 交易量

19%

吉斯蘭·麥克斯韋爾

$13,573 交易量

13%

Diddy

$7,849 交易量

19%

伊麗莎白·霍姆斯

$1,130 交易量

10%

尼古拉斯·馬杜羅

$6,768 交易量

10%

山姆·班克曼-弗里德

$36,621 交易量

自己

$3,978 交易量

喬·埃克索蒂克

$330 交易量

Do Kwon

$16,325 交易量

愛德華·斯諾登

$1,755 交易量

馬丁·施克雷利

$22,458 交易量

德瑞克·蕭文

$18,473 交易量

安托萬·馬西

$0 交易量

Young Thug

$4,269 交易量

亨特·拜登

$2,046 交易量

伊隆·馬斯克

$49,873 交易量

羅傑·費爾

$418 交易量

35%

羅傑·史東

$0 交易量

46%

斯特凡·布羅迪

$16 交易量

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 27 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "唐納德·布羅迪" at 51%, followed by "馬特·蓋茲" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？" has generated $219.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？," browse the 27 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？" is "唐納德·布羅迪" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬特·蓋茲" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $219.1K traded on “特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 51¢ for "唐納德·布羅迪" in the "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 51% chance that "唐納德·布羅迪" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 51¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 49¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？" market has an active community of 16 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？

特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？

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規則

盤口背景

評論 (16)

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Frequently Asked Questions

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Can I follow "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？" without placing a trade?

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How do I start trading on "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？"?

What does a price of 51¢ for "唐納德·布羅迪" mean?

When does the "特朗普在2027年之前會赦免誰？" market close?

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