President Trump’s renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland, citing Arctic security needs amid competition with Russia and China, has produced tariff threats, envoy appointments, and discussions of purchase or compact options in early 2026, yet elicited firm rejections from Danish and Greenlandic officials who insist sovereignty remains non-negotiable. Greenlandic polling shows overwhelming local opposition to any transfer, while European NATO partners have coordinated statements and limited military signaling to underscore alliance concerns. No negotiated transfer of ownership has advanced despite a reported “framework” for broader Arctic talks in January, leaving structural barriers—consent requirements, legal processes, and short remaining timeline—intact with only months until 2027. Trader consensus at 96.4% for no reflects these entrenched positions and absence of any pathway to completion. Late shifts could still emerge from dramatic internal Greenlandic developments or unprecedented bilateral concessions, though such reversals lack supporting signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
4% 機率
$35,326,796 交易量
$35,326,796 交易量
2026-12-30
是
4% 機率
$35,326,796 交易量
$35,326,796 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President Trump’s renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland, citing Arctic security needs amid competition with Russia and China, has produced tariff threats, envoy appointments, and discussions of purchase or compact options in early 2026, yet elicited firm rejections from Danish and Greenlandic officials who insist sovereignty remains non-negotiable. Greenlandic polling shows overwhelming local opposition to any transfer, while European NATO partners have coordinated statements and limited military signaling to underscore alliance concerns. No negotiated transfer of ownership has advanced despite a reported “framework” for broader Arctic talks in January, leaving structural barriers—consent requirements, legal processes, and short remaining timeline—intact with only months until 2027. Trader consensus at 96.4% for no reflects these entrenched positions and absence of any pathway to completion. Late shifts could still emerge from dramatic internal Greenlandic developments or unprecedented bilateral concessions, though such reversals lack supporting signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市場開放時間： Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
交易量
$35,326,796結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President Trump’s renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland, citing Arctic security needs amid competition with Russia and China, has produced tariff threats, envoy appointments, and discussions of purchase or compact options in early 2026, yet elicited firm rejections from Danish and Greenlandic officials who insist sovereignty remains non-negotiable. Greenlandic polling shows overwhelming local opposition to any transfer, while European NATO partners have coordinated statements and limited military signaling to underscore alliance concerns. No negotiated transfer of ownership has advanced despite a reported “framework” for broader Arctic talks in January, leaving structural barriers—consent requirements, legal processes, and short remaining timeline—intact with only months until 2027. Trader consensus at 96.4% for no reflects these entrenched positions and absence of any pathway to completion. Late shifts could still emerge from dramatic internal Greenlandic developments or unprecedented bilateral concessions, though such reversals lack supporting signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$35,327,128結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland, citing Arctic security needs amid competition with Russia and China, has produced tariff threats, envoy appointments, and discussions of purchase or compact options in early 2026, yet elicited firm rejections from Danish and Greenlandic officials who insist sovereignty remains non-negotiable. Greenlandic polling shows overwhelming local opposition to any transfer, while European NATO partners have coordinated statements and limited military signaling to underscore alliance concerns. No negotiated transfer of ownership has advanced despite a reported “framework” for broader Arctic talks in January, leaving structural barriers—consent requirements, legal processes, and short remaining timeline—intact with only months until 2027. Trader consensus at 96.4% for no reflects these entrenched positions and absence of any pathway to completion. Late shifts could still emerge from dramatic internal Greenlandic developments or unprecedented bilateral concessions, though such reversals lack supporting signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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