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icon for Mitch McConnell在9月30日前在參議院投票?

Mitch McConnell在9月30日前在參議院投票?

icon for Mitch McConnell在9月30日前在參議院投票?

Mitch McConnell在9月30日前在參議院投票?

0% 機率
Polymarket
最新

0% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Mitch McConnell has not cast a Senate vote since June 11, 2026, following a June 14 fall that left the 84-year-old Kentucky Republican unconscious at his home, leading to hospitalization, pneumonia treatment, and extended rehabilitation.** He was discharged to home recovery on August 6 and remains there undergoing physical therapy, with statements from his office indicating the process requires more time and that he will not return to the floor “quite yet.” Recent footage from early June shows him appearing largely motionless and requiring aide assistance during extended voting sessions. The Senate adjourned for a five-week recess on August 8 and is scheduled to reconvene in mid-September, leaving limited sessions before the September 30 deadline. McConnell, who has already announced his retirement at the end of his term, has provided no firm timeline for resuming attendance, supporting traders’ current consensus that he is unlikely to vote by the cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$195
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Mitch McConnell has not cast a Senate vote since June 11, 2026, following a June 14 fall that left the 84-year-old Kentucky Republican unconscious at his home, leading to hospitalization, pneumonia treatment, and extended rehabilitation.** He was discharged to home recovery on August 6 and remains there undergoing physical therapy, with statements from his office indicating the process requires more time and that he will not return to the floor “quite yet.” Recent footage from early June shows him appearing largely motionless and requiring aide assistance during extended voting sessions. The Senate adjourned for a five-week recess on August 8 and is scheduled to reconvene in mid-September, leaving limited sessions before the September 30 deadline. McConnell, who has already announced his retirement at the end of his term, has provided no firm timeline for resuming attendance, supporting traders’ current consensus that he is unlikely to vote by the cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$195
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Mitch McConnell在9月30日前在參議院投票?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "米奇·麥康奈是否會在9月30日前於參議院投票?" at 53%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mitch McConnell在9月30日前在參議院投票?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mitch McConnell在9月30日前在參議院投票?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mitch McConnell在9月30日前在參議院投票?" is "米奇·麥康奈是否會在9月30日前於參議院投票?" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mitch McConnell在9月30日前在參議院投票?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.