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icon for 奈及利亞塔拉巴州州長選舉獲勝者
政治·非洲

奈及利亞塔拉巴州州長選舉獲勝者

icon for 奈及利亞塔拉巴州州長選舉獲勝者
政治·非洲

奈及利亞塔拉巴州州長選舉獲勝者

阿布·凱法斯 67%

Aboki Stephen Bayonga 24%

伊曼紐爾·布瓦查 13%

Shiddi Usman Danjuma 4%

Polymarket
最新

阿布·凱法斯 67%

Aboki Stephen Bayonga 24%

伊曼紐爾·布瓦查 13%

Shiddi Usman Danjuma 4%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 阿布·凱法斯

阿布·凱法斯

$28 交易量

67%

icon for Aboki Stephen Bayonga

Aboki Stephen Bayonga

$62 交易量

19%

icon for 伊曼紐爾·布瓦查

伊曼紐爾·布瓦查

$20 交易量

13%

icon for Shiddi Usman Danjuma

Shiddi Usman Danjuma

$20 交易量

4%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Agbu Kefas holds the leading position in the 2027 Taraba gubernatorial election market due to his incumbency advantage after defecting from the PDP to the APC in late 2025 and securing the APC nomination. In May 2026 he won the party primary with over 166,000 votes against a distant rival. August 2026 stakeholder meetings formally endorsed him as consensus candidate, accompanied by campaign appointments, a running-mate selection, salary-arrears payments that drew union support, and federal infrastructure projects tied to his alignment with the Tinubu administration. Emmanuel Bwacha (PDP) and Shiddi Usman Danjuma (APGA) trail with lower implied probabilities reflecting their parties’ weaker statewide structures and recent primary outcomes. Minor aspirants remain at flat pricing amid unresolved internal APC dissent from figures such as David Kente.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
交易量
$130
結束日期
2027-02-06
市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Agbu Kefas holds the leading position in the 2027 Taraba gubernatorial election market due to his incumbency advantage after defecting from the PDP to the APC in late 2025 and securing the APC nomination. In May 2026 he won the party primary with over 166,000 votes against a distant rival. August 2026 stakeholder meetings formally endorsed him as consensus candidate, accompanied by campaign appointments, a running-mate selection, salary-arrears payments that drew union support, and federal infrastructure projects tied to his alignment with the Tinubu administration. Emmanuel Bwacha (PDP) and Shiddi Usman Danjuma (APGA) trail with lower implied probabilities reflecting their parties’ weaker statewide structures and recent primary outcomes. Minor aspirants remain at flat pricing amid unresolved internal APC dissent from figures such as David Kente.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
交易量
$130
結束日期
2027-02-06
市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"奈及利亞塔拉巴州州長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "阿布·凱法斯" at 67%, followed by "Aboki Stephen Bayonga" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"奈及利亞塔拉巴州州長選舉獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "奈及利亞塔拉巴州州長選舉獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "奈及利亞塔拉巴州州長選舉獲勝者" is "阿布·凱法斯" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aboki Stephen Bayonga" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "奈及利亞塔拉巴州州長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.