Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor, holds the strongest position in the 2027 Sokoto governorship race following his unopposed affirmation as the party candidate in May 2026 through a consensus process across all wards. This reflects APC unity and his administration's ongoing focus on infrastructure, security, and public services. The field remains fragmented, with INEC confirming 19 candidates in August 2026 from parties including PDP, ADC, and Labour Party. PDP internal divisions have produced parallel candidates and leadership disputes, while ADC selected Manir Muhammad Dan Iya earlier and Labour Party substituted Haliru Dikko as its nominee in mid-September. These opposition challenges, combined with the long timeline to the election, underpin trader consensus favoring Aliyu while assigning lower implied probabilities to alternatives.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於艾哈邁德·阿里尤 63%
馬尼爾·穆罕默德·丹·伊亞 24%
穆斯塔法·謝胡 2.2%
阿卜杜勒拉希姆·欽多 <1%
最新
最新
2027-02-06
艾哈邁德·阿里尤
63%
馬尼爾·穆罕默德·丹·伊亞
24%
穆斯塔法·謝胡
2%
阿卜杜勒拉希姆·欽多
<1%
艾哈邁德·阿里尤 63%
馬尼爾·穆罕默德·丹·伊亞 24%
穆斯塔法·謝胡 2.2%
阿卜杜勒拉希姆·欽多 <1%
最新
最新
2027-02-06
艾哈邁德·阿里尤
$5,168 交易量
63%
馬尼爾·穆罕默德·丹·伊亞
$437 交易量
24%
穆斯塔法·謝胡
$548 交易量
2%
阿卜杜勒拉希姆·欽多
$315 交易量
<1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor, holds the strongest position in the 2027 Sokoto governorship race following his unopposed affirmation as the party candidate in May 2026 through a consensus process across all wards. This reflects APC unity and his administration's ongoing focus on infrastructure, security, and public services. The field remains fragmented, with INEC confirming 19 candidates in August 2026 from parties including PDP, ADC, and Labour Party. PDP internal divisions have produced parallel candidates and leadership disputes, while ADC selected Manir Muhammad Dan Iya earlier and Labour Party substituted Haliru Dikko as its nominee in mid-September. These opposition challenges, combined with the long timeline to the election, underpin trader consensus favoring Aliyu while assigning lower implied probabilities to alternatives.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
交易量
$6,468結束日期
2027-02-06市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor, holds the strongest position in the 2027 Sokoto governorship race following his unopposed affirmation as the party candidate in May 2026 through a consensus process across all wards. This reflects APC unity and his administration's ongoing focus on infrastructure, security, and public services. The field remains fragmented, with INEC confirming 19 candidates in August 2026 from parties including PDP, ADC, and Labour Party. PDP internal divisions have produced parallel candidates and leadership disputes, while ADC selected Manir Muhammad Dan Iya earlier and Labour Party substituted Haliru Dikko as its nominee in mid-September. These opposition challenges, combined with the long timeline to the election, underpin trader consensus favoring Aliyu while assigning lower implied probabilities to alternatives.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
交易量
$6,468結束日期
2027-02-06市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETAhmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor, holds the strongest position in the 2027 Sokoto governorship race following his unopposed affirmation as the party candidate in May 2026 through a consensus process across all wards. This reflects APC unity and his administration's ongoing focus on infrastructure, security, and public services. The field remains fragmented, with INEC confirming 19 candidates in August 2026 from parties including PDP, ADC, and Labour Party. PDP internal divisions have produced parallel candidates and leadership disputes, while ADC selected Manir Muhammad Dan Iya earlier and Labour Party substituted Haliru Dikko as its nominee in mid-September. These opposition challenges, combined with the long timeline to the election, underpin trader consensus favoring Aliyu while assigning lower implied probabilities to alternatives.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions