Adama Barrow holds a commanding position in the December 2026 Gambian presidential election market due to his incumbency, established National People’s Party structure, and consistent lead in perceived electability across recent surveys. Polls from August 2026 placed him first in both voting intention and the strongest chance of victory, well ahead of Ousainou Darboe of the United Democratic Party and other challengers including Talib Ahmed Bensouda, Essa Faal, Mama Kandeh, and Bakary K. Badjie. Recent power outages have triggered protests in Banjul and surrounding areas, prompting Barrow to declare a national emergency and pledge new generation capacity by late October. Nomination deadlines in November and the start of formal campaigning could still influence the fragmented opposition field ahead of the December 5 vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿達馬·巴羅 74%
奧賽努·達爾波 17%
Essa Faal 7%
塔利卜·艾哈邁德·本蘇達 6.0%

阿達馬·巴羅
74%

奧賽努·達爾波
17%

Essa Faal
7%

塔利卜·艾哈邁德·本蘇達
20%

Bakary K. Badjie
5%

穆罕默德·阿明·巴
4%

瑪瑪·坎德
2%
阿達馬·巴羅 74%
奧賽努·達爾波 17%
Essa Faal 7%
塔利卜·艾哈邁德·本蘇達 6.0%

阿達馬·巴羅
74%

奧賽努·達爾波
17%

Essa Faal
7%

塔利卜·艾哈邁德·本蘇達
20%

Bakary K. Badjie
5%

穆罕默德·阿明·巴
4%

瑪瑪·坎德
2%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).
Adama Barrow holds a commanding position in the December 2026 Gambian presidential election market due to his incumbency, established National People’s Party structure, and consistent lead in perceived electability across recent surveys. Polls from August 2026 placed him first in both voting intention and the strongest chance of victory, well ahead of Ousainou Darboe of the United Democratic Party and other challengers including Talib Ahmed Bensouda, Essa Faal, Mama Kandeh, and Bakary K. Badjie. Recent power outages have triggered protests in Banjul and surrounding areas, prompting Barrow to declare a national emergency and pledge new generation capacity by late October. Nomination deadlines in November and the start of formal campaigning could still influence the fragmented opposition field ahead of the December 5 vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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