Alberto Núñez Feijóo of the People’s Party holds an 80.5% implied probability as next prime minister due to the PP’s sustained lead in national polling averages ahead of the election due by August 2027. Multiple corruption investigations and resignations within Pedro Sánchez’s PSOE, including the 2025 Koldo affair fallout, have eroded government support and fueled speculation of early voting or coalition fragility. Recent regional results have reinforced rightward shifts, though coalition math with Vox remains a variable. Sánchez’s contract trades at 12.8% while other named figures sit far lower, reflecting trader consensus on incumbency challenges and opposition momentum in a fragmented Congress.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81%
Pedro Sánchez 12.9%
Santiago Abascal 5.0%
伊莎貝爾·迪亞斯·阿尤索 4.3%
$99,943 交易量
$99,943 交易量
2028-03-31
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
81%
Pedro Sánchez
13%
Santiago Abascal
5%
伊莎貝爾·迪亞斯·阿尤索
4%
Miguel Tellado
1%
奧斯卡·普恩特
<1%
卡洛斯·庫爾波
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81%
Pedro Sánchez 12.9%
Santiago Abascal 5.0%
伊莎貝爾·迪亞斯·阿尤索 4.3%
$99,943 交易量
$99,943 交易量
2028-03-31
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
$26,604 交易量
81%
Pedro Sánchez
$17,012 交易量
13%
Santiago Abascal
$9,566 交易量
5%
伊莎貝爾·迪亞斯·阿尤索
$4,901 交易量
4%
Miguel Tellado
$3,982 交易量
1%
奧斯卡·普恩特
$2,003 交易量
<1%
卡洛斯·庫爾波
$2,513 交易量
<1%
Aitor Esteban
$2,629 交易量
<1%
Ester Muñoz
$3,383 交易量
<1%
María Jesús Montero
$4,176 交易量
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
$4,020 交易量
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
$6,023 交易量
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
$3,375 交易量
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
$3,395 交易量
<1%
Pepa Millán
$3,427 交易量
<1%
Borja Sémper
$2,934 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo of the People’s Party holds an 80.5% implied probability as next prime minister due to the PP’s sustained lead in national polling averages ahead of the election due by August 2027. Multiple corruption investigations and resignations within Pedro Sánchez’s PSOE, including the 2025 Koldo affair fallout, have eroded government support and fueled speculation of early voting or coalition fragility. Recent regional results have reinforced rightward shifts, though coalition math with Vox remains a variable. Sánchez’s contract trades at 12.8% while other named figures sit far lower, reflecting trader consensus on incumbency challenges and opposition momentum in a fragmented Congress.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
交易量
$99,943結束日期
2028-03-31市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo of the People’s Party holds an 80.5% implied probability as next prime minister due to the PP’s sustained lead in national polling averages ahead of the election due by August 2027. Multiple corruption investigations and resignations within Pedro Sánchez’s PSOE, including the 2025 Koldo affair fallout, have eroded government support and fueled speculation of early voting or coalition fragility. Recent regional results have reinforced rightward shifts, though coalition math with Vox remains a variable. Sánchez’s contract trades at 12.8% while other named figures sit far lower, reflecting trader consensus on incumbency challenges and opposition momentum in a fragmented Congress.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$99,943結束日期
2028-03-31市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alberto Núñez Feijóo of the People’s Party holds an 80.5% implied probability as next prime minister due to the PP’s sustained lead in national polling averages ahead of the election due by August 2027. Multiple corruption investigations and resignations within Pedro Sánchez’s PSOE, including the 2025 Koldo affair fallout, have eroded government support and fueled speculation of early voting or coalition fragility. Recent regional results have reinforced rightward shifts, though coalition math with Vox remains a variable. Sánchez’s contract trades at 12.8% while other named figures sit far lower, reflecting trader consensus on incumbency challenges and opposition momentum in a fragmented Congress.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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