Recent April opinion polls from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus place Sweden's Social Democrats at 32-33 percent, giving their Red-Green bloc a narrow lead over the incumbent Tidö coalition ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election. This positioning underpins trader consensus around Magdalena Andersson as the next prime minister, reflecting her party's consistent polling edge and the opposition's momentum on issues such as welfare and integration. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails as his Moderates poll in the mid-teens amid coalition strains, while his recent proposal to grant Sweden Democrats formal ministerial roles in immigration has drawn criticism from Andersson without shifting bloc arithmetic. Smaller-party leaders remain marginal in the proportional system, where post-election coalition talks will ultimately decide the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於馬格達萊娜·安德松 69%
烏爾夫·克里斯特松 30%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.6%
埃巴·布希 <1%
$1,953,247 交易量
$1,953,247 交易量

馬格達萊娜·安德松
69%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松
30%

Jimmie Åkesson
3%

埃巴·布希
<1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%

阿曼達·林德
<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%

丹尼爾·赫爾登
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

伊麗莎白·坦德·林克維斯特
<1%
馬格達萊娜·安德松 69%
烏爾夫·克里斯特松 30%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.6%
埃巴·布希 <1%
$1,953,247 交易量
$1,953,247 交易量

馬格達萊娜·安德松
69%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松
30%

Jimmie Åkesson
3%

埃巴·布希
<1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%

阿曼達·林德
<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%

丹尼爾·赫爾登
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

伊麗莎白·坦德·林克維斯特
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April opinion polls from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus place Sweden's Social Democrats at 32-33 percent, giving their Red-Green bloc a narrow lead over the incumbent Tidö coalition ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election. This positioning underpins trader consensus around Magdalena Andersson as the next prime minister, reflecting her party's consistent polling edge and the opposition's momentum on issues such as welfare and integration. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails as his Moderates poll in the mid-teens amid coalition strains, while his recent proposal to grant Sweden Democrats formal ministerial roles in immigration has drawn criticism from Andersson without shifting bloc arithmetic. Smaller-party leaders remain marginal in the proportional system, where post-election coalition talks will ultimately decide the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions