Chang Chia-chun, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, holds an 83.5% implied probability in the Yunlin County Magistrate race, while DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo stands at 9.5%. The KMT formally selected Chang in March 2026 as part of its slate of female candidates for local offices, building on the party’s recent control of the magistracy under Chang Li-shan. Liu received the DPP nomination in April. Traders appear to price in Yunlin’s historical KMT leanings, the party’s organizational strength in agricultural districts, and the absence of major late-breaking shifts in candidate positioning or polling trends since the nominations. The November 28, 2026, election remains the key resolution trigger, with limited scheduled events between now and then that could materially alter the current consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2027-06-30
張嘉郡
84%
劉建國
10%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
張嘉郡
$844 交易量
84%
劉建國
$402 交易量
10%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang Chia-chun, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, holds an 83.5% implied probability in the Yunlin County Magistrate race, while DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo stands at 9.5%. The KMT formally selected Chang in March 2026 as part of its slate of female candidates for local offices, building on the party’s recent control of the magistracy under Chang Li-shan. Liu received the DPP nomination in April. Traders appear to price in Yunlin’s historical KMT leanings, the party’s organizational strength in agricultural districts, and the absence of major late-breaking shifts in candidate positioning or polling trends since the nominations. The November 28, 2026, election remains the key resolution trigger, with limited scheduled events between now and then that could materially alter the current consensus.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
交易量
$1,246結束日期
2026-11-28市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang Chia-chun, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, holds an 83.5% implied probability in the Yunlin County Magistrate race, while DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo stands at 9.5%. The KMT formally selected Chang in March 2026 as part of its slate of female candidates for local offices, building on the party’s recent control of the magistracy under Chang Li-shan. Liu received the DPP nomination in April. Traders appear to price in Yunlin’s historical KMT leanings, the party’s organizational strength in agricultural districts, and the absence of major late-breaking shifts in candidate positioning or polling trends since the nominations. The November 28, 2026, election remains the key resolution trigger, with limited scheduled events between now and then that could materially alter the current consensus.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$1,246結束日期
2026-11-28市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chang Chia-chun, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, holds an 83.5% implied probability in the Yunlin County Magistrate race, while DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo stands at 9.5%. The KMT formally selected Chang in March 2026 as part of its slate of female candidates for local offices, building on the party’s recent control of the magistracy under Chang Li-shan. Liu received the DPP nomination in April. Traders appear to price in Yunlin’s historical KMT leanings, the party’s organizational strength in agricultural districts, and the absence of major late-breaking shifts in candidate positioning or polling trends since the nominations. The November 28, 2026, election remains the key resolution trigger, with limited scheduled events between now and then that could materially alter the current consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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