Incumbent Taoyuan Mayor Chang San-cheng of the Kuomintang holds an overwhelming trader consensus lead in the November 28, 2026, mayoral race, driven by his established incumbency advantage and consistent local approval ratings near 62 percent. Candidate registration closed on September 4 with only two contenders confirmed: Chang seeking a second term under KMT nomination and Democratic Progressive Party challenger Huang Shih-chieh, a former legislator and deputy justice minister nominated in April. The matchup reflects standard partisan lines in this special municipality, with no significant late developments or polling shifts reported in the preceding weeks that would narrow the gap. Huang’s prior legislative experience in Taoyuan provides some visibility, yet the absence of broader national tailwinds for the DPP or notable controversies around Chang has kept the implied probability heavily weighted toward the incumbent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於鄭文燦 89%
黃世傑 5.2%
彭紹瑾 <1%
$15,069 交易量
$15,069 交易量
2027-06-30
鄭文燦
89%
黃世傑
5%
彭紹瑾
<1%
鄭文燦 89%
黃世傑 5.2%
彭紹瑾 <1%
$15,069 交易量
$15,069 交易量
2027-06-30
鄭文燦
$11,613 交易量
89%
黃世傑
$2,180 交易量
5%
彭紹瑾
$1,276 交易量
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Taoyuan Mayor Chang San-cheng of the Kuomintang holds an overwhelming trader consensus lead in the November 28, 2026, mayoral race, driven by his established incumbency advantage and consistent local approval ratings near 62 percent. Candidate registration closed on September 4 with only two contenders confirmed: Chang seeking a second term under KMT nomination and Democratic Progressive Party challenger Huang Shih-chieh, a former legislator and deputy justice minister nominated in April. The matchup reflects standard partisan lines in this special municipality, with no significant late developments or polling shifts reported in the preceding weeks that would narrow the gap. Huang’s prior legislative experience in Taoyuan provides some visibility, yet the absence of broader national tailwinds for the DPP or notable controversies around Chang has kept the implied probability heavily weighted toward the incumbent.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET
交易量
$15,069結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ETTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Taoyuan Mayor Chang San-cheng of the Kuomintang holds an overwhelming trader consensus lead in the November 28, 2026, mayoral race, driven by his established incumbency advantage and consistent local approval ratings near 62 percent. Candidate registration closed on September 4 with only two contenders confirmed: Chang seeking a second term under KMT nomination and Democratic Progressive Party challenger Huang Shih-chieh, a former legislator and deputy justice minister nominated in April. The matchup reflects standard partisan lines in this special municipality, with no significant late developments or polling shifts reported in the preceding weeks that would narrow the gap. Huang’s prior legislative experience in Taoyuan provides some visibility, yet the absence of broader national tailwinds for the DPP or notable controversies around Chang has kept the implied probability heavily weighted toward the incumbent.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$15,069結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ETIncumbent Taoyuan Mayor Chang San-cheng of the Kuomintang holds an overwhelming trader consensus lead in the November 28, 2026, mayoral race, driven by his established incumbency advantage and consistent local approval ratings near 62 percent. Candidate registration closed on September 4 with only two contenders confirmed: Chang seeking a second term under KMT nomination and Democratic Progressive Party challenger Huang Shih-chieh, a former legislator and deputy justice minister nominated in April. The matchup reflects standard partisan lines in this special municipality, with no significant late developments or polling shifts reported in the preceding weeks that would narrow the gap. Huang’s prior legislative experience in Taoyuan provides some visibility, yet the absence of broader national tailwinds for the DPP or notable controversies around Chang has kept the implied probability heavily weighted toward the incumbent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions