Republican majorities in Congress have blocked all recent Democratic efforts to remove President Trump from office, including symbolic articles of impeachment and proposals for a 25th Amendment fitness commission introduced in April 2026. These initiatives lacked the bipartisan support required for Senate conviction, a threshold historically met only under extraordinary consensus. No verified reports of resignation, incapacity, or disqualifying legal barriers have surfaced in the past month, while the president continues active engagement on foreign policy and budget priorities through mid-2026. Traders price this stability at a 90.5% implied probability for remaining in office, though shifts in midterm results or sudden health developments could still reopen removal pathways before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$8,518,634 交易量
$8,518,634 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$8,518,634 交易量
$8,518,634 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress have blocked all recent Democratic efforts to remove President Trump from office, including symbolic articles of impeachment and proposals for a 25th Amendment fitness commission introduced in April 2026. These initiatives lacked the bipartisan support required for Senate conviction, a threshold historically met only under extraordinary consensus. No verified reports of resignation, incapacity, or disqualifying legal barriers have surfaced in the past month, while the president continues active engagement on foreign policy and budget priorities through mid-2026. Traders price this stability at a 90.5% implied probability for remaining in office, though shifts in midterm results or sudden health developments could still reopen removal pathways before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
交易量
$8,518,634結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress have blocked all recent Democratic efforts to remove President Trump from office, including symbolic articles of impeachment and proposals for a 25th Amendment fitness commission introduced in April 2026. These initiatives lacked the bipartisan support required for Senate conviction, a threshold historically met only under extraordinary consensus. No verified reports of resignation, incapacity, or disqualifying legal barriers have surfaced in the past month, while the president continues active engagement on foreign policy and budget priorities through mid-2026. Traders price this stability at a 90.5% implied probability for remaining in office, though shifts in midterm results or sudden health developments could still reopen removal pathways before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$8,518,634結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in Congress have blocked all recent Democratic efforts to remove President Trump from office, including symbolic articles of impeachment and proposals for a 25th Amendment fitness commission introduced in April 2026. These initiatives lacked the bipartisan support required for Senate conviction, a threshold historically met only under extraordinary consensus. No verified reports of resignation, incapacity, or disqualifying legal barriers have surfaced in the past month, while the president continues active engagement on foreign policy and budget priorities through mid-2026. Traders price this stability at a 90.5% implied probability for remaining in office, though shifts in midterm results or sudden health developments could still reopen removal pathways before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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