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icon for 普京在2026年12月31日之前就任俄羅斯總統？
地緣政治·普京

普京在2026年12月31日之前就任俄羅斯總統？

icon for 普京在2026年12月31日之前就任俄羅斯總統？
地緣政治·普京

普京在2026年12月31日之前就任俄羅斯總統？

6月 30

12月 31

6月 30

12月 31

是

12% 機率
Polymarket

$4,270,274 交易量

是

12% 機率
Polymarket

$4,270,274 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russian president through December 31, 2026, driven by his constitutionally secured term until May 2030 following 2020 amendments that reset prior limits and his unchallenged 2024 reelection. Recent Kremlin releases, including a May 12 video of Putin driving in Moscow and meeting associates, have dispelled health and isolation rumors amid Western claims of bunker seclusion. Putin's May 9 statement suggesting the Ukraine conflict is nearing an end, paired with governor reshuffles in border regions on May 13, signals ongoing control over military and regional levers despite tightened security reports from early May. No viable opposition, snap election mechanisms, or institutional challenges have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this stability, though sudden health events or elite fractures could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,270,274
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

結算方

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russian president through December 31, 2026, driven by his constitutionally secured term until May 2030 following 2020 amendments that reset prior limits and his unchallenged 2024 reelection. Recent Kremlin releases, including a May 12 video of Putin driving in Moscow and meeting associates, have dispelled health and isolation rumors amid Western claims of bunker seclusion. Putin's May 9 statement suggesting the Ukraine conflict is nearing an end, paired with governor reshuffles in border regions on May 13, signals ongoing control over military and regional levers despite tightened security reports from early May. No viable opposition, snap election mechanisms, or institutional challenges have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this stability, though sudden health events or elite fractures could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,270,274
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

結算方

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"普京在2026年12月31日之前就任俄羅斯總統？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "普丁會在2026年12月31日前卸任俄羅斯總統嗎？" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "普京在2026年12月31日之前就任俄羅斯總統？" has generated $4.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "普京在2026年12月31日之前就任俄羅斯總統？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "普京在2026年12月31日之前就任俄羅斯總統？" is "普丁會在2026年12月31日前卸任俄羅斯總統嗎？" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "普京在2026年12月31日之前就任俄羅斯總統？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.