Heightened Kremlin security protocols implemented since March 2026, including expanded surveillance of aides and reduced public appearances by Vladimir Putin, reflect reported elite tensions and concerns over military influence, particularly around former defense minister Sergei Shoigu. European intelligence assessments have highlighted risks tied to insider plots or drone threats amid Ukraine war setbacks, economic strains, and slipping approval ratings. However, analysts emphasize Putin's retained control over security services, loyalty mechanisms within the military high command, and the absence of organized opposition capable of mounting a challenge. These factors underpin trader consensus that no coup attempt is likely through the remainder of 2026, consistent with the regime's demonstrated resilience after the 2023 Prigozhin episode.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$95,127 交易量
$95,127 交易量
2026-12-31
$95,127 交易量
$95,127 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Heightened Kremlin security protocols implemented since March 2026, including expanded surveillance of aides and reduced public appearances by Vladimir Putin, reflect reported elite tensions and concerns over military influence, particularly around former defense minister Sergei Shoigu. European intelligence assessments have highlighted risks tied to insider plots or drone threats amid Ukraine war setbacks, economic strains, and slipping approval ratings. However, analysts emphasize Putin's retained control over security services, loyalty mechanisms within the military high command, and the absence of organized opposition capable of mounting a challenge. These factors underpin trader consensus that no coup attempt is likely through the remainder of 2026, consistent with the regime's demonstrated resilience after the 2023 Prigozhin episode.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
交易量
$95,127結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Heightened Kremlin security protocols implemented since March 2026, including expanded surveillance of aides and reduced public appearances by Vladimir Putin, reflect reported elite tensions and concerns over military influence, particularly around former defense minister Sergei Shoigu. European intelligence assessments have highlighted risks tied to insider plots or drone threats amid Ukraine war setbacks, economic strains, and slipping approval ratings. However, analysts emphasize Putin's retained control over security services, loyalty mechanisms within the military high command, and the absence of organized opposition capable of mounting a challenge. These factors underpin trader consensus that no coup attempt is likely through the remainder of 2026, consistent with the regime's demonstrated resilience after the 2023 Prigozhin episode.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$95,127結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Heightened Kremlin security protocols implemented since March 2026, including expanded surveillance of aides and reduced public appearances by Vladimir Putin, reflect reported elite tensions and concerns over military influence, particularly around former defense minister Sergei Shoigu. European intelligence assessments have highlighted risks tied to insider plots or drone threats amid Ukraine war setbacks, economic strains, and slipping approval ratings. However, analysts emphasize Putin's retained control over security services, loyalty mechanisms within the military high command, and the absence of organized opposition capable of mounting a challenge. These factors underpin trader consensus that no coup attempt is likely through the remainder of 2026, consistent with the regime's demonstrated resilience after the 2023 Prigozhin episode.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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