Russian President Vladimir Putin has maintained firm control over key institutions and security services through mid-2026, with no verified coup attempt materializing despite earlier reports of heightened Kremlin security measures since March. European intelligence assessments from spring 2026 highlighted elite concerns and tightened protections around the president, yet subsequent analyses from multiple observers described these as overstated or unconfirmed, noting the absence of coordinated opposition from military or siloviki factions. Ongoing Ukraine conflict dynamics and internal elite incentives—centered on regime preservation—have reinforced stability, aligning with trader consensus that a 2026 coup attempt remains unlikely absent major new fractures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7% 機率
$118,354 交易量
$118,354 交易量
2026-12-31
7% 機率
$118,354 交易量
$118,354 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russian President Vladimir Putin has maintained firm control over key institutions and security services through mid-2026, with no verified coup attempt materializing despite earlier reports of heightened Kremlin security measures since March. European intelligence assessments from spring 2026 highlighted elite concerns and tightened protections around the president, yet subsequent analyses from multiple observers described these as overstated or unconfirmed, noting the absence of coordinated opposition from military or siloviki factions. Ongoing Ukraine conflict dynamics and internal elite incentives—centered on regime preservation—have reinforced stability, aligning with trader consensus that a 2026 coup attempt remains unlikely absent major new fractures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
交易量
$118,354結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russian President Vladimir Putin has maintained firm control over key institutions and security services through mid-2026, with no verified coup attempt materializing despite earlier reports of heightened Kremlin security measures since March. European intelligence assessments from spring 2026 highlighted elite concerns and tightened protections around the president, yet subsequent analyses from multiple observers described these as overstated or unconfirmed, noting the absence of coordinated opposition from military or siloviki factions. Ongoing Ukraine conflict dynamics and internal elite incentives—centered on regime preservation—have reinforced stability, aligning with trader consensus that a 2026 coup attempt remains unlikely absent major new fractures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$118,354結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian President Vladimir Putin has maintained firm control over key institutions and security services through mid-2026, with no verified coup attempt materializing despite earlier reports of heightened Kremlin security measures since March. European intelligence assessments from spring 2026 highlighted elite concerns and tightened protections around the president, yet subsequent analyses from multiple observers described these as overstated or unconfirmed, noting the absence of coordinated opposition from military or siloviki factions. Ongoing Ukraine conflict dynamics and internal elite incentives—centered on regime preservation—have reinforced stability, aligning with trader consensus that a 2026 coup attempt remains unlikely absent major new fractures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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