Recent Kremlin statements highlight the November 18-19 APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, as the leading venue for a potential Trump-Putin encounter, with aides confirming both leaders plan to attend and that bilateral or trilateral talks with Xi Jinping were discussed during September SCO meetings and recent phone calls. This diplomatic momentum, including Moscow's outreach for side meetings, underpins trader consensus around a China location. Uncertainty persists because the White House has not yet confirmed U.S. participation, supporting elevated odds for no meeting by year-end. Low probabilities for alternatives such as the United States, Russia, or Gulf states reflect the absence of comparable scheduled events or official signals within the remainder of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於China 56%
截至12月31日無會面 33%
United States 3.9%
Gulf country 2.1%
$1,120,992 交易量
$1,120,992 交易量

China
56%

截至12月31日無會面
33%

United States
4%

Gulf country
2%

Russia
1%

Other
1%

Turkey
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
China 56%
截至12月31日無會面 33%
United States 3.9%
Gulf country 2.1%
$1,120,992 交易量
$1,120,992 交易量

China
56%

截至12月31日無會面
33%

United States
4%

Gulf country
2%

Russia
1%

Other
1%

Turkey
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent Kremlin statements highlight the November 18-19 APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, as the leading venue for a potential Trump-Putin encounter, with aides confirming both leaders plan to attend and that bilateral or trilateral talks with Xi Jinping were discussed during September SCO meetings and recent phone calls. This diplomatic momentum, including Moscow's outreach for side meetings, underpins trader consensus around a China location. Uncertainty persists because the White House has not yet confirmed U.S. participation, supporting elevated odds for no meeting by year-end. Low probabilities for alternatives such as the United States, Russia, or Gulf states reflect the absence of comparable scheduled events or official signals within the remainder of 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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