Ukraine faces sustained pressure from its ongoing conflict with Russia, including military operations, economic challenges, and governance strains under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, yet no verified plots, elite defections, or public unrest have emerged in recent months to indicate an imminent coup attempt. Security services continue to monitor internal threats, consistent with prior foiled incidents, while parliamentary and institutional processes remain operational without reported breakdowns. Traders price the low probability of a widely reported coup by year-end at single digits, reflecting the absence of fresh catalysts such as mass protests, military mutinies, or opposition mobilizations. Upcoming factors that could shift odds include any escalation in battlefield setbacks, legislative disputes over martial law extensions, or diplomatic developments altering domestic stability, though historical patterns show Ukrainian institutions have withstood similar wartime stresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$124,604 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
7%
$124,604 交易量
12月31日
$106,768 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine faces sustained pressure from its ongoing conflict with Russia, including military operations, economic challenges, and governance strains under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, yet no verified plots, elite defections, or public unrest have emerged in recent months to indicate an imminent coup attempt. Security services continue to monitor internal threats, consistent with prior foiled incidents, while parliamentary and institutional processes remain operational without reported breakdowns. Traders price the low probability of a widely reported coup by year-end at single digits, reflecting the absence of fresh catalysts such as mass protests, military mutinies, or opposition mobilizations. Upcoming factors that could shift odds include any escalation in battlefield setbacks, legislative disputes over martial law extensions, or diplomatic developments altering domestic stability, though historical patterns show Ukrainian institutions have withstood similar wartime stresses.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
交易量
$124,604結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine faces sustained pressure from its ongoing conflict with Russia, including military operations, economic challenges, and governance strains under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, yet no verified plots, elite defections, or public unrest have emerged in recent months to indicate an imminent coup attempt. Security services continue to monitor internal threats, consistent with prior foiled incidents, while parliamentary and institutional processes remain operational without reported breakdowns. Traders price the low probability of a widely reported coup by year-end at single digits, reflecting the absence of fresh catalysts such as mass protests, military mutinies, or opposition mobilizations. Upcoming factors that could shift odds include any escalation in battlefield setbacks, legislative disputes over martial law extensions, or diplomatic developments altering domestic stability, though historical patterns show Ukrainian institutions have withstood similar wartime stresses.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$124,604結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine faces sustained pressure from its ongoing conflict with Russia, including military operations, economic challenges, and governance strains under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, yet no verified plots, elite defections, or public unrest have emerged in recent months to indicate an imminent coup attempt. Security services continue to monitor internal threats, consistent with prior foiled incidents, while parliamentary and institutional processes remain operational without reported breakdowns. Traders price the low probability of a widely reported coup by year-end at single digits, reflecting the absence of fresh catalysts such as mass protests, military mutinies, or opposition mobilizations. Upcoming factors that could shift odds include any escalation in battlefield setbacks, legislative disputes over martial law extensions, or diplomatic developments altering domestic stability, though historical patterns show Ukrainian institutions have withstood similar wartime stresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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