Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.3% for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of any credible reports, official announcements, or intelligence indicators of internal plotting against President Zelenskyy in recent weeks. Martial law remains in effect since Russia's 2022 full-scale invasion, suspending elections and centralizing command under unified military and civilian leadership focused on frontline defense, with no major defections or dissent from key figures like General Kyrylo Budanov. Earlier 2026 cabinet reshuffles addressed corruption scandals and political rivals without fracturing cohesion. While mobilization tensions and war fatigue persist, they have not escalated to organized challenges. Late-breaking scenarios like battlefield collapse, high-level betrayal, or explosive scandals could shift odds, though structural barriers under martial law limit feasibility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-06-30
是
最新
最新
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.3% for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of any credible reports, official announcements, or intelligence indicators of internal plotting against President Zelenskyy in recent weeks. Martial law remains in effect since Russia's 2022 full-scale invasion, suspending elections and centralizing command under unified military and civilian leadership focused on frontline defense, with no major defections or dissent from key figures like General Kyrylo Budanov. Earlier 2026 cabinet reshuffles addressed corruption scandals and political rivals without fracturing cohesion. While mobilization tensions and war fatigue persist, they have not escalated to organized challenges. Late-breaking scenarios like battlefield collapse, high-level betrayal, or explosive scandals could shift odds, though structural barriers under martial law limit feasibility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
交易量
$9,714結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.3% for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of any credible reports, official announcements, or intelligence indicators of internal plotting against President Zelenskyy in recent weeks. Martial law remains in effect since Russia's 2022 full-scale invasion, suspending elections and centralizing command under unified military and civilian leadership focused on frontline defense, with no major defections or dissent from key figures like General Kyrylo Budanov. Earlier 2026 cabinet reshuffles addressed corruption scandals and political rivals without fracturing cohesion. While mobilization tensions and war fatigue persist, they have not escalated to organized challenges. Late-breaking scenarios like battlefield collapse, high-level betrayal, or explosive scandals could shift odds, though structural barriers under martial law limit feasibility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$9,714結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.3% for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of any credible reports, official announcements, or intelligence indicators of internal plotting against President Zelenskyy in recent weeks. Martial law remains in effect since Russia's 2022 full-scale invasion, suspending elections and centralizing command under unified military and civilian leadership focused on frontline defense, with no major defections or dissent from key figures like General Kyrylo Budanov. Earlier 2026 cabinet reshuffles addressed corruption scandals and political rivals without fracturing cohesion. While mobilization tensions and war fatigue persist, they have not escalated to organized challenges. Late-breaking scenarios like battlefield collapse, high-level betrayal, or explosive scandals could shift odds, though structural barriers under martial law limit feasibility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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