Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russia conflict, with no verified coup attempts or major internal power seizures reported through mid-2026. Trader consensus on low implied probability for a coup attempt reflects the absence of recent triggers such as large-scale military defections, parliamentary seizures, or elite-level challenges, despite periodic protests over anticorruption legislation and EU accession strains in 2025. The Security Service of Ukraine continues to monitor and disrupt potential plots, as seen in the 2024 foiled pro-Russian effort. Structural factors including wartime martial law provisions, centralized command, and international support contribute to stability, while scheduled developments like ongoing military operations or diplomatic negotiations could influence internal dynamics before year-end resolution windows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$169,153 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
8%
$169,153 交易量
12月31日
$151,317 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russia conflict, with no verified coup attempts or major internal power seizures reported through mid-2026. Trader consensus on low implied probability for a coup attempt reflects the absence of recent triggers such as large-scale military defections, parliamentary seizures, or elite-level challenges, despite periodic protests over anticorruption legislation and EU accession strains in 2025. The Security Service of Ukraine continues to monitor and disrupt potential plots, as seen in the 2024 foiled pro-Russian effort. Structural factors including wartime martial law provisions, centralized command, and international support contribute to stability, while scheduled developments like ongoing military operations or diplomatic negotiations could influence internal dynamics before year-end resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
交易量
$169,153結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russia conflict, with no verified coup attempts or major internal power seizures reported through mid-2026. Trader consensus on low implied probability for a coup attempt reflects the absence of recent triggers such as large-scale military defections, parliamentary seizures, or elite-level challenges, despite periodic protests over anticorruption legislation and EU accession strains in 2025. The Security Service of Ukraine continues to monitor and disrupt potential plots, as seen in the 2024 foiled pro-Russian effort. Structural factors including wartime martial law provisions, centralized command, and international support contribute to stability, while scheduled developments like ongoing military operations or diplomatic negotiations could influence internal dynamics before year-end resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$169,153結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russia conflict, with no verified coup attempts or major internal power seizures reported through mid-2026. Trader consensus on low implied probability for a coup attempt reflects the absence of recent triggers such as large-scale military defections, parliamentary seizures, or elite-level challenges, despite periodic protests over anticorruption legislation and EU accession strains in 2025. The Security Service of Ukraine continues to monitor and disrupt potential plots, as seen in the 2024 foiled pro-Russian effort. Structural factors including wartime martial law provisions, centralized command, and international support contribute to stability, while scheduled developments like ongoing military operations or diplomatic negotiations could influence internal dynamics before year-end resolution windows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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