Recent U.S.-brokered diplomatic efforts, including a three-day ceasefire in May 2026 and statements from both Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy signaling openness to further talks, have sustained trader focus on potential progress toward a comprehensive agreement. Yet Russia's insistence on Ukrainian withdrawal from occupied regions and veto power over Kyiv's security arrangements continues to block consensus, as seen in stalled trilateral meetings earlier in 2026. European skepticism and Ukraine's resistance to territorial concessions reinforce the view that a full peace deal remains unlikely before 2027, aligning with the 68.5% implied probability on the "No" outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$571,405 交易量
$571,405 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$571,405 交易量
$571,405 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent U.S.-brokered diplomatic efforts, including a three-day ceasefire in May 2026 and statements from both Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy signaling openness to further talks, have sustained trader focus on potential progress toward a comprehensive agreement. Yet Russia's insistence on Ukrainian withdrawal from occupied regions and veto power over Kyiv's security arrangements continues to block consensus, as seen in stalled trilateral meetings earlier in 2026. European skepticism and Ukraine's resistance to territorial concessions reinforce the view that a full peace deal remains unlikely before 2027, aligning with the 68.5% implied probability on the "No" outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
交易量
$571,405結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent U.S.-brokered diplomatic efforts, including a three-day ceasefire in May 2026 and statements from both Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy signaling openness to further talks, have sustained trader focus on potential progress toward a comprehensive agreement. Yet Russia's insistence on Ukrainian withdrawal from occupied regions and veto power over Kyiv's security arrangements continues to block consensus, as seen in stalled trilateral meetings earlier in 2026. European skepticism and Ukraine's resistance to territorial concessions reinforce the view that a full peace deal remains unlikely before 2027, aligning with the 68.5% implied probability on the "No" outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$571,405結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-brokered diplomatic efforts, including a three-day ceasefire in May 2026 and statements from both Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy signaling openness to further talks, have sustained trader focus on potential progress toward a comprehensive agreement. Yet Russia's insistence on Ukrainian withdrawal from occupied regions and veto power over Kyiv's security arrangements continues to block consensus, as seen in stalled trilateral meetings earlier in 2026. European skepticism and Ukraine's resistance to territorial concessions reinforce the view that a full peace deal remains unlikely before 2027, aligning with the 68.5% implied probability on the "No" outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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