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icon for Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？
政治·烏克蘭

Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？

icon for Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？
政治·烏克蘭

Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？

12月 31

12月 31

是

7% 機率
Polymarket

$2,937,393 交易量

是

7% 機率
Polymarket

$2,937,393 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ukraine’s ongoing martial law, extended through at least 31 October 2026, legally bars presidential elections and has kept incumbent Volodymyr Zelenskyy in office since his 2019 term formally expired in May 2024. Parliament has approved repeated 90-day extensions of the wartime restrictions, with no scheduled vote or constitutional mechanism to remove him before year-end absent a ceasefire or major political shift. Zelenskyy has signaled openness to elections only after martial law lifts and security conditions allow, while the active conflict with Russia continues to sustain the legal barrier. Traders price the “No” outcome at 93.5 percent because these structural constraints make any departure by 31 December 2026 highly unlikely under current rules and battlefield realities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,937,393
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

結算方

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ukraine’s ongoing martial law, extended through at least 31 October 2026, legally bars presidential elections and has kept incumbent Volodymyr Zelenskyy in office since his 2019 term formally expired in May 2024. Parliament has approved repeated 90-day extensions of the wartime restrictions, with no scheduled vote or constitutional mechanism to remove him before year-end absent a ceasefire or major political shift. Zelenskyy has signaled openness to elections only after martial law lifts and security conditions allow, while the active conflict with Russia continues to sustain the legal barrier. Traders price the “No” outcome at 93.5 percent because these structural constraints make any departure by 31 December 2026 highly unlikely under current rules and battlefield realities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,937,393
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

結算方

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "澤連斯基是否會在2026年底前卸任烏克蘭總統？" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？" has generated $2.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？" is "澤連斯基是否會在2026年底前卸任烏克蘭總統？" at just 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.