**Zelenskyy’s continued tenure through 2026 rests on Ukraine’s martial law regime, extended by parliament in 90-day increments through at least 31 October 2026 and likely beyond amid active Russian hostilities.** Ukrainian law prohibits presidential elections during martial law, and constitutional provisions extend the incumbent’s powers until a successor is sworn in after a valid vote. On 16 September 2026 Zelenskyy reiterated readiness to hold elections “tomorrow” but cited insurmountable barriers—security risks, logistics for millions abroad and in occupied areas, and legal requirements—while noting Russia’s rejection of ceasefires that could enable voting. Recent polling shows his support has fallen sharply, yet no credible path exists for a nationwide ballot before year-end. Diplomatic contacts, including an upcoming Trump meeting at the UN General Assembly, focus on de-escalation rather than immediate electoral change. Traders therefore assign high probability to his remaining in office, reflecting the structural linkage between the unresolved conflict and election postponement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$3,226,575 交易量
$3,226,575 交易量
是
$3,226,575 交易量
$3,226,575 交易量
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Zelenskyy’s continued tenure through 2026 rests on Ukraine’s martial law regime, extended by parliament in 90-day increments through at least 31 October 2026 and likely beyond amid active Russian hostilities.** Ukrainian law prohibits presidential elections during martial law, and constitutional provisions extend the incumbent’s powers until a successor is sworn in after a valid vote. On 16 September 2026 Zelenskyy reiterated readiness to hold elections “tomorrow” but cited insurmountable barriers—security risks, logistics for millions abroad and in occupied areas, and legal requirements—while noting Russia’s rejection of ceasefires that could enable voting. Recent polling shows his support has fallen sharply, yet no credible path exists for a nationwide ballot before year-end. Diplomatic contacts, including an upcoming Trump meeting at the UN General Assembly, focus on de-escalation rather than immediate electoral change. Traders therefore assign high probability to his remaining in office, reflecting the structural linkage between the unresolved conflict and election postponement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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