Ukraine's refusal to forgo NATO membership aspirations through 2027 reflects sustained alliance backing and Kyiv's consistent stance amid active hostilities. At the July 2026 Ankara Summit, NATO allies pledged €70 billion in military aid for 2026 with equivalent commitments for 2027, while reaffirming Ukraine's irreversible path to full integration without setting membership conditions tied to neutrality. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has reiterated that the country belongs in NATO and rejected Russian demands for permanent non-alignment in ongoing U.S.-mediated talks. The absence of a ceasefire or settlement resolving territorial and security issues has prevented any such concession, aligning with traders' assessment that formal agreement on delayed accession remains unlikely before the 2027 threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
9% 機率
$134,442 交易量
$134,442 交易量
2026-12-31
是
9% 機率
$134,442 交易量
$134,442 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Ukraine's refusal to forgo NATO membership aspirations through 2027 reflects sustained alliance backing and Kyiv's consistent stance amid active hostilities. At the July 2026 Ankara Summit, NATO allies pledged €70 billion in military aid for 2026 with equivalent commitments for 2027, while reaffirming Ukraine's irreversible path to full integration without setting membership conditions tied to neutrality. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has reiterated that the country belongs in NATO and rejected Russian demands for permanent non-alignment in ongoing U.S.-mediated talks. The absence of a ceasefire or settlement resolving territorial and security issues has prevented any such concession, aligning with traders' assessment that formal agreement on delayed accession remains unlikely before the 2027 threshold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ET
交易量
$134,442結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Ukraine's refusal to forgo NATO membership aspirations through 2027 reflects sustained alliance backing and Kyiv's consistent stance amid active hostilities. At the July 2026 Ankara Summit, NATO allies pledged €70 billion in military aid for 2026 with equivalent commitments for 2027, while reaffirming Ukraine's irreversible path to full integration without setting membership conditions tied to neutrality. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has reiterated that the country belongs in NATO and rejected Russian demands for permanent non-alignment in ongoing U.S.-mediated talks. The absence of a ceasefire or settlement resolving territorial and security issues has prevented any such concession, aligning with traders' assessment that formal agreement on delayed accession remains unlikely before the 2027 threshold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
交易量
$134,442結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's refusal to forgo NATO membership aspirations through 2027 reflects sustained alliance backing and Kyiv's consistent stance amid active hostilities. At the July 2026 Ankara Summit, NATO allies pledged €70 billion in military aid for 2026 with equivalent commitments for 2027, while reaffirming Ukraine's irreversible path to full integration without setting membership conditions tied to neutrality. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has reiterated that the country belongs in NATO and rejected Russian demands for permanent non-alignment in ongoing U.S.-mediated talks. The absence of a ceasefire or settlement resolving territorial and security issues has prevented any such concession, aligning with traders' assessment that formal agreement on delayed accession remains unlikely before the 2027 threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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