United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma race through entrenched control of single-mandate districts, centralized candidate selection via electronic primaries, and consistent targeting of a constitutional majority. Recent party restructuring under Vladimir Yakushev, combined with the integration of Ukraine war veterans into candidate lists and the addition of voters from the new regions, has reinforced its lead. New People has narrowed the gap for second place in recent polling by positioning as a Kremlin-aligned liberal alternative, while the Communist Party and Liberal Democratic Party remain constrained by limited single-member opportunities and stable but lower support levels. These dynamics align with trader consensus on the frontrunner's structural advantages heading into the September vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於統一俄羅斯黨（ER） 62%
新人民黨（NL） 28.8%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR） 5.5%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF） 3.8%
$8,193,841 交易量
$8,193,841 交易量
2026-09-30
統一俄羅斯黨（ER）
62%
新人民黨（NL）
29%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR）
6%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF）
4%
正義俄羅斯—為真理（SRZP）
1%
祖國黨
<1%
公民平台（GP）
<1%
統一俄羅斯黨（ER） 62%
新人民黨（NL） 28.8%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR） 5.5%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF） 3.8%
$8,193,841 交易量
$8,193,841 交易量
2026-09-30
統一俄羅斯黨（ER）
$2,132,397 交易量
62%
新人民黨（NL）
$1,050,038 交易量
29%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR）
$2,273,266 交易量
6%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF）
$655,147 交易量
4%
正義俄羅斯—為真理（SRZP）
$571,458 交易量
1%
祖國黨
$931,544 交易量
<1%
公民平台（GP）
$580,012 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma race through entrenched control of single-mandate districts, centralized candidate selection via electronic primaries, and consistent targeting of a constitutional majority. Recent party restructuring under Vladimir Yakushev, combined with the integration of Ukraine war veterans into candidate lists and the addition of voters from the new regions, has reinforced its lead. New People has narrowed the gap for second place in recent polling by positioning as a Kremlin-aligned liberal alternative, while the Communist Party and Liberal Democratic Party remain constrained by limited single-member opportunities and stable but lower support levels. These dynamics align with trader consensus on the frontrunner's structural advantages heading into the September vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市場開放時間： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$8,193,841結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma race through entrenched control of single-mandate districts, centralized candidate selection via electronic primaries, and consistent targeting of a constitutional majority. Recent party restructuring under Vladimir Yakushev, combined with the integration of Ukraine war veterans into candidate lists and the addition of voters from the new regions, has reinforced its lead. New People has narrowed the gap for second place in recent polling by positioning as a Kremlin-aligned liberal alternative, while the Communist Party and Liberal Democratic Party remain constrained by limited single-member opportunities and stable but lower support levels. These dynamics align with trader consensus on the frontrunner's structural advantages heading into the September vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$8,193,841結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma race through entrenched control of single-mandate districts, centralized candidate selection via electronic primaries, and consistent targeting of a constitutional majority. Recent party restructuring under Vladimir Yakushev, combined with the integration of Ukraine war veterans into candidate lists and the addition of voters from the new regions, has reinforced its lead. New People has narrowed the gap for second place in recent polling by positioning as a Kremlin-aligned liberal alternative, while the Communist Party and Liberal Democratic Party remain constrained by limited single-member opportunities and stable but lower support levels. These dynamics align with trader consensus on the frontrunner's structural advantages heading into the September vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions