Recent polling and special election results indicate sustained Democratic advantages in the generic congressional ballot, reflecting broader voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions and the incumbent administration's agenda. This environment has heightened mobilization efforts by both parties ahead of November 3, with Democrats emphasizing turnout among higher-propensity educated voters and Republicans targeting working-class bases that proved decisive in prior cycles. Historical midterm patterns show turnout typically lags presidential years by 10-15 points, yet elevated polarization, ongoing redistricting battles, and early indicators of youth engagement could push participation toward or above recent benchmarks near 115-125 million votes. Trader consensus remains closely divided between adjacent bins as these competing mobilization dynamics and late-cycle economic data continue to evolve without clear separation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬 27%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬 22%
1.25-1.3 億 15%
1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬 12%
$23,239 交易量
$23,239 交易量
少於8,500萬
2%
8,500萬-9,000萬
1%
9,000萬-9,500萬
3%
9,500萬至1億
3%
1億到1億零5百萬
2%
1億500萬至1億1000萬
6%
1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬
12%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬
22%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬
27%
1.25-1.3 億
15%
1億3,000萬+
5%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬 27%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬 22%
1.25-1.3 億 15%
1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬 12%
$23,239 交易量
$23,239 交易量
少於8,500萬
2%
8,500萬-9,000萬
1%
9,000萬-9,500萬
3%
9,500萬至1億
3%
1億到1億零5百萬
2%
1億500萬至1億1000萬
6%
1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬
12%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬
22%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬
27%
1.25-1.3 億
15%
1億3,000萬+
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市場開放時間: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and special election results indicate sustained Democratic advantages in the generic congressional ballot, reflecting broader voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions and the incumbent administration's agenda. This environment has heightened mobilization efforts by both parties ahead of November 3, with Democrats emphasizing turnout among higher-propensity educated voters and Republicans targeting working-class bases that proved decisive in prior cycles. Historical midterm patterns show turnout typically lags presidential years by 10-15 points, yet elevated polarization, ongoing redistricting battles, and early indicators of youth engagement could push participation toward or above recent benchmarks near 115-125 million votes. Trader consensus remains closely divided between adjacent bins as these competing mobilization dynamics and late-cycle economic data continue to evolve without clear separation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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