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icon for 2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率
選舉·票

2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率

icon for 2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率
選舉·票

2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率

1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬 30%

1億1500萬-1億2000萬 23%

1.25-1.3 億 15%

1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬 14%

Polymarket

$23,118 交易量

1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬 30%

1億1500萬-1億2000萬 23%

1.25-1.3 億 15%

1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬 14%

Polymarket

$23,118 交易量

少於8,500萬

$572 交易量

3%

8,500萬-9,000萬

$587 交易量

1%

9,000萬-9,500萬

$1,723 交易量

3%

9,500萬至1億

$380 交易量

2%

1億到1億零5百萬

$978 交易量

1%

1億500萬至1億1000萬

$931 交易量

6%

1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬

$3,888 交易量

14%

1億1500萬-1億2000萬

$3,988 交易量

23%

1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬

$7,145 交易量

30%

1.25-1.3 億

$2,115 交易量

15%

1億3,000萬+

$812 交易量

5%

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent developments in the 2026 cycle, including a Democratic edge of 4-6 points on the generic congressional ballot and continued opposition-party momentum in special elections, point to elevated voter engagement typical of competitive midterms. Historical benchmarks show midterm turnout often reaches 46-50% of the voting-eligible population, equating to roughly 115-125 million ballots when participation mirrors recent high-water marks like 2018. Trader consensus clusters in this range as campaigns intensify, early voting expands, and key issues such as the economy and congressional control sustain base mobilization without clear signs of unusual spikes or drops. Upcoming primaries and remaining specials through fall will offer further signals on enthusiasm gaps and overall participation trends ahead of November 3.

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.

Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$23,118
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent developments in the 2026 cycle, including a Democratic edge of 4-6 points on the generic congressional ballot and continued opposition-party momentum in special elections, point to elevated voter engagement typical of competitive midterms. Historical benchmarks show midterm turnout often reaches 46-50% of the voting-eligible population, equating to roughly 115-125 million ballots when participation mirrors recent high-water marks like 2018. Trader consensus clusters in this range as campaigns intensify, early voting expands, and key issues such as the economy and congressional control sustain base mobilization without clear signs of unusual spikes or drops. Upcoming primaries and remaining specials through fall will offer further signals on enthusiasm gaps and overall participation trends ahead of November 3.

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.

Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$23,118
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬" at 30%, followed by "1億1500萬-1億2000萬" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率" has generated $23.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率" is "1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1億1500萬-1億2000萬" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年中期選舉：眾議院投票率" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.