Recent polling trends have positioned the Labour Party as the frontrunner in trader assessments for New Zealand's November 2026 general election, with several surveys showing it leading or tied with the National-led coalition. April results from firms including 1News-Verian and Roy Morgan indicated Labour support rising to around 34-37 percent while National fell to 30-34 percent, narrowing or erasing the coalition's projected seat advantage under the mixed-member proportional system. This momentum stems from voter concerns over economic conditions and coalition performance, offset by National's ongoing efforts to stabilize its parliamentary bloc. Smaller parties such as the Greens, Te Pāti Māori, New Zealand First, and ACT maintain minimal implied probabilities due to vote thresholds and limited standalone prospects. The contest remains sensitive to further shifts in public sentiment over the coming months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Labour Party 56%
National Party 35%
New Zealand First Party 1.0%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
National Party
38%
Labour Party
56%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Labour Party 56%
National Party 35%
New Zealand First Party 1.0%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
National Party
$1,057 交易量
38%
Labour Party
$1,108 交易量
56%
Green Party
$329 交易量
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$339 交易量
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$319 交易量
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$314 交易量
1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling trends have positioned the Labour Party as the frontrunner in trader assessments for New Zealand's November 2026 general election, with several surveys showing it leading or tied with the National-led coalition. April results from firms including 1News-Verian and Roy Morgan indicated Labour support rising to around 34-37 percent while National fell to 30-34 percent, narrowing or erasing the coalition's projected seat advantage under the mixed-member proportional system. This momentum stems from voter concerns over economic conditions and coalition performance, offset by National's ongoing efforts to stabilize its parliamentary bloc. Smaller parties such as the Greens, Te Pāti Māori, New Zealand First, and ACT maintain minimal implied probabilities due to vote thresholds and limited standalone prospects. The contest remains sensitive to further shifts in public sentiment over the coming months.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
市場開放時間： Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
交易量
$3,464結束日期
2026-11-07市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling trends have positioned the Labour Party as the frontrunner in trader assessments for New Zealand's November 2026 general election, with several surveys showing it leading or tied with the National-led coalition. April results from firms including 1News-Verian and Roy Morgan indicated Labour support rising to around 34-37 percent while National fell to 30-34 percent, narrowing or erasing the coalition's projected seat advantage under the mixed-member proportional system. This momentum stems from voter concerns over economic conditions and coalition performance, offset by National's ongoing efforts to stabilize its parliamentary bloc. Smaller parties such as the Greens, Te Pāti Māori, New Zealand First, and ACT maintain minimal implied probabilities due to vote thresholds and limited standalone prospects. The contest remains sensitive to further shifts in public sentiment over the coming months.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$3,464結束日期
2026-11-07市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends have positioned the Labour Party as the frontrunner in trader assessments for New Zealand's November 2026 general election, with several surveys showing it leading or tied with the National-led coalition. April results from firms including 1News-Verian and Roy Morgan indicated Labour support rising to around 34-37 percent while National fell to 30-34 percent, narrowing or erasing the coalition's projected seat advantage under the mixed-member proportional system. This momentum stems from voter concerns over economic conditions and coalition performance, offset by National's ongoing efforts to stabilize its parliamentary bloc. Smaller parties such as the Greens, Te Pāti Māori, New Zealand First, and ACT maintain minimal implied probabilities due to vote thresholds and limited standalone prospects. The contest remains sensitive to further shifts in public sentiment over the coming months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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