Recent nominations and campaign launches have intensified competition in Rio Grande do Sul ahead of the October 4 first round, with right-leaning contenders including Renan Santos of the Missão party, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Flávio Bolsonaro drawing support from overlapping voter bases amid ongoing national polarization between incumbent Lula and the Liberal Party ticket. Santos has publicly challenged Bolsonaro over party affiliation processes and positioned himself as an alternative focused on fiscal restraint and anti-corruption measures, while state-level concerns such as infrastructure and public security further fragment preferences. National polls reflect a split field with no candidate exceeding low-to-mid 40s percent, keeping implied probabilities for first place in the state tightly contested and sensitive to upcoming regional debates or shifts in turnout among key demographics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅 46%
盧拉 43%
澤馬 39%
雷南·桑托斯 38%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅
46%
盧拉
43%
澤馬
39%
雷南·桑托斯
38%
Pablo Marçal
37%
羅納爾多·卡伊亞多
37%
作家奧古斯托·庫瑞
36%
赫茲·迪亞斯
36%
莎瑪拉
35%
埃德米爾松·科斯塔
35%
克拉麗安娜·巴拉奧
27%
獸醫威爾遜·格拉西
9%
Rui Costa Pimenta
8%
弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅 46%
盧拉 43%
澤馬 39%
雷南·桑托斯 38%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
弗拉維奧·博爾索納羅
$0 交易量
46%
盧拉
$0 交易量
43%
澤馬
$66 交易量
39%
雷南·桑托斯
$69 交易量
38%
Pablo Marçal
$70 交易量
37%
羅納爾多·卡伊亞多
$68 交易量
37%
作家奧古斯托·庫瑞
$70 交易量
36%
赫茲·迪亞斯
$70 交易量
36%
莎瑪拉
$70 交易量
35%
埃德米爾松·科斯塔
$65 交易量
35%
克拉麗安娜·巴拉奧
$0 交易量
27%
獸醫威爾遜·格拉西
$70 交易量
9%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$70 交易量
8%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent nominations and campaign launches have intensified competition in Rio Grande do Sul ahead of the October 4 first round, with right-leaning contenders including Renan Santos of the Missão party, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Flávio Bolsonaro drawing support from overlapping voter bases amid ongoing national polarization between incumbent Lula and the Liberal Party ticket. Santos has publicly challenged Bolsonaro over party affiliation processes and positioned himself as an alternative focused on fiscal restraint and anti-corruption measures, while state-level concerns such as infrastructure and public security further fragment preferences. National polls reflect a split field with no candidate exceeding low-to-mid 40s percent, keeping implied probabilities for first place in the state tightly contested and sensitive to upcoming regional debates or shifts in turnout among key demographics.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET
交易量
$688結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent nominations and campaign launches have intensified competition in Rio Grande do Sul ahead of the October 4 first round, with right-leaning contenders including Renan Santos of the Missão party, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Flávio Bolsonaro drawing support from overlapping voter bases amid ongoing national polarization between incumbent Lula and the Liberal Party ticket. Santos has publicly challenged Bolsonaro over party affiliation processes and positioned himself as an alternative focused on fiscal restraint and anti-corruption measures, while state-level concerns such as infrastructure and public security further fragment preferences. National polls reflect a split field with no candidate exceeding low-to-mid 40s percent, keeping implied probabilities for first place in the state tightly contested and sensitive to upcoming regional debates or shifts in turnout among key demographics.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$688結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent nominations and campaign launches have intensified competition in Rio Grande do Sul ahead of the October 4 first round, with right-leaning contenders including Renan Santos of the Missão party, Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Flávio Bolsonaro drawing support from overlapping voter bases amid ongoing national polarization between incumbent Lula and the Liberal Party ticket. Santos has publicly challenged Bolsonaro over party affiliation processes and positioned himself as an alternative focused on fiscal restraint and anti-corruption measures, while state-level concerns such as infrastructure and public security further fragment preferences. National polls reflect a split field with no candidate exceeding low-to-mid 40s percent, keeping implied probabilities for first place in the state tightly contested and sensitive to upcoming regional debates or shifts in turnout among key demographics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions