Trump's recent endorsement of Catalina Lauf, a former Commerce Department adviser under his first term, has rapidly consolidated support in the crowded Republican primary for Florida's 19th Congressional District, scheduled for August 18. The district, which Trump carried by 24 points in the prior cycle, features a 10-candidate field to replace Byron Donalds. Pre-endorsement polling showed Lauf and local businessman Jim Schwartzel essentially tied in the high teens with substantial undecided voters; Lauf also holds backing from multiple Florida Republican lawmakers and aligned super PACs. These factors have driven trader consensus sharply toward Lauf while leaving limited room for Schwartzel or lower-polling candidates such as Jim Oberweis.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Catalina Lauf 82%
吉姆·施瓦茨爾 15.0%
吉姆·奧伯韋斯 1.8%
麥迪遜·考索恩 <1%
$79,158 交易量
$79,158 交易量
Catalina Lauf
82%
吉姆·施瓦茨爾
15%
吉姆·奧伯韋斯
2%
麥迪遜·考索恩
<1%
Bob Rommel
<1%
Spencer Roach
<1%
Catalina Lauf 82%
吉姆·施瓦茨爾 15.0%
吉姆·奧伯韋斯 1.8%
麥迪遜·考索恩 <1%
$79,158 交易量
$79,158 交易量
Catalina Lauf
82%
吉姆·施瓦茨爾
15%
吉姆·奧伯韋斯
2%
麥迪遜·考索恩
<1%
Bob Rommel
<1%
Spencer Roach
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間： Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trump's recent endorsement of Catalina Lauf, a former Commerce Department adviser under his first term, has rapidly consolidated support in the crowded Republican primary for Florida's 19th Congressional District, scheduled for August 18. The district, which Trump carried by 24 points in the prior cycle, features a 10-candidate field to replace Byron Donalds. Pre-endorsement polling showed Lauf and local businessman Jim Schwartzel essentially tied in the high teens with substantial undecided voters; Lauf also holds backing from multiple Florida Republican lawmakers and aligned super PACs. These factors have driven trader consensus sharply toward Lauf while leaving limited room for Schwartzel or lower-polling candidates such as Jim Oberweis.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions