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預測與賠率

·
Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

99%

40-45%

$38.8K 交易量

$74.0K Liq.

3

Ends 大約 1 個月前

亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎?

亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎?

12%

$224K 交易量

$70.4K Liq.

14

Ends 6 個月內

不信任投票反對西班牙首相桑切斯... ?

不信任投票反對西班牙首相桑切斯... ?

47%

12月31日

$13.6K 交易量

$11.1K Liq.

1

Ends 1 天前

2026年中期選舉:眾議院熱門投票勝利幅度

2026年中期選舉:眾議院熱門投票勝利幅度

25%

民主黨 8-10%

$96.7K 交易量

$319K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

未來國民黨會在下一屆義大利大選中獲得至少3%的選票嗎?

未來國民黨會在下一屆義大利大選中獲得至少3%的選票嗎?

92%

$212 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

2

Ends 超過 1 年內

Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary

Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary

97%

70-75%

$17.1K 交易量

$60.0K Liq.

1

Ends 22 天前

有多少參議員會投票支持Todd Blanche擔任司法部長?

有多少參議員會投票支持Todd Blanche擔任司法部長?

80%

54

$725 交易量

$51.4K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

34%

National 10%+

$1.8K 交易量

$48.9K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

格陵蘭會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎?

格陵蘭會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎?

9%

$46.2K 交易量

$19.5K Liq.

8

Ends 6 個月內

密歇根州會投票改寫州憲法嗎?

密歇根州會投票改寫州憲法嗎?

23%

$6.3K 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

誰將投票確認Jay Clayton為國家情報總監

誰將投票確認Jay Clayton為國家情報總監

77%

Thom Tillis

$1.6K 交易量

$674 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

誰將投票確認Todd Blanche為司法部長?

誰將投票確認Todd Blanche為司法部長?

52%

Lisa Murkowski

$63 交易量

$384 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

49%

Labour

$143 交易量

$161 Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

傑伊·克萊頓被…證實為國家情報總監?

傑伊·克萊頓被…證實為國家情報總監?

82%

10月31日

$5.6K 交易量

$10.4K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by...?

Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by...?

55%

8月30日

$1.2K 交易量

$680 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

下屆法國總統選舉

下屆法國總統選舉

26%

喬丹·巴爾德拉

$106M 交易量

$234K today

$11M Liq.

575

Ends 10 個月內

洛杉磯市長選舉

洛杉磯市長選舉

60%

凱倫·巴斯

$13M 交易量

$121K today

$1M Liq.

150

Ends 29 天前

特朗普在2027年之前就任總統?

特朗普在2027年之前就任總統?

9%

$9M 交易量

$131K today

$567K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

39%

Sorin Grindeanu

$3M 交易量

$837K Liq.

367

Ends 大約 1 個月前

祕魯選舉第二輪:勝利邊際? ( 0.1 %括號)

祕魯選舉第二輪:勝利邊際? ( 0.1 %括號)

100%

藤森0.2–0.3%

$3M 交易量

$770K Liq.

53

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 84 active markets for 票 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $134.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “下屆法國總統選舉,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “下屆法國總統選舉,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 26% chance to 喬丹·巴爾德拉. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 票 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.