Recent polls place the Centre Party (Centerpartiet) between 6.2% and 7.3% in the final month before Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, aligning closely with its 6.7% result in 2022. Consistent readings from Demoskop, Novus, and Indikator show stable but modest support for the liberal, rural-focused party amid a competitive contest between the centre-left opposition bloc and the governing Tidö parties. The Centre Party’s positioning outside both major blocs, combined with limited movement in voter preferences on issues such as agriculture, EU policy, and economic liberalism, has kept its trajectory steady without notable surges or declines. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to the 5-7% band while leaving room for a modest uptick into the low 7s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5-7% 45%
7-9% 33%
低於5% 21%
9%以上 4.1%
低於5%
21%
5-7%
45%
7-9%
33%
9%以上
4%
5-7% 45%
7-9% 33%
低於5% 21%
9%以上 4.1%
低於5%
21%
5-7%
45%
7-9%
33%
9%以上
4%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市場開放時間: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place the Centre Party (Centerpartiet) between 6.2% and 7.3% in the final month before Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, aligning closely with its 6.7% result in 2022. Consistent readings from Demoskop, Novus, and Indikator show stable but modest support for the liberal, rural-focused party amid a competitive contest between the centre-left opposition bloc and the governing Tidö parties. The Centre Party’s positioning outside both major blocs, combined with limited movement in voter preferences on issues such as agriculture, EU policy, and economic liberalism, has kept its trajectory steady without notable surges or declines. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to the 5-7% band while leaving room for a modest uptick into the low 7s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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