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icon for 花蓮縣治安法官選舉優勝者
政治·臺灣

花蓮縣治安法官選舉優勝者

icon for 花蓮縣治安法官選舉優勝者
政治·臺灣

花蓮縣治安法官選舉優勝者

余淑貞 78%

魏嘉賢 18%

張淳 5%

羅佩卿 <1%

Polymarket
最新

余淑貞 78%

魏嘉賢 18%

張淳 5%

羅佩卿 <1%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 余淑貞

余淑貞

$2,486 交易量

78%

icon for 魏嘉賢

魏嘉賢

$1,201 交易量

18%

icon for 張淳

張淳

$780 交易量

5%

icon for 羅佩卿

羅佩卿

$430 交易量

1%

icon for 葉耀輝

葉耀輝

$664 交易量

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Yu Shu-chen holds the strongest market position as the Kuomintang nominee for Hualien County magistrate in the November 28, 2026 local elections. The KMT Central Standing Committee selected the Jian Township head in March 2026 following an internal poll, granting her the party's organizational backing in a county with a consistent KMT voting record and an open seat after the incumbent's term limit. Other declared candidates, including Wei Chia-hsien and Chang Chun, trail due to limited party infrastructure or independent status, while lower-priced entrants reflect narrower bases of support. Recent campaign pledges by rivals and ongoing candidate field dynamics have not shifted the implied probabilities, which align with standard patterns for party-nominated contenders in similar Taiwanese county races ahead of voting.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$5,561
結束日期
2026-11-28
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Yu Shu-chen holds the strongest market position as the Kuomintang nominee for Hualien County magistrate in the November 28, 2026 local elections. The KMT Central Standing Committee selected the Jian Township head in March 2026 following an internal poll, granting her the party's organizational backing in a county with a consistent KMT voting record and an open seat after the incumbent's term limit. Other declared candidates, including Wei Chia-hsien and Chang Chun, trail due to limited party infrastructure or independent status, while lower-priced entrants reflect narrower bases of support. Recent campaign pledges by rivals and ongoing candidate field dynamics have not shifted the implied probabilities, which align with standard patterns for party-nominated contenders in similar Taiwanese county races ahead of voting.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$5,561
結束日期
2026-11-28
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"花蓮縣治安法官選舉優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "余淑貞" at 78%, followed by "魏嘉賢" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"花蓮縣治安法官選舉優勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "花蓮縣治安法官選舉優勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "花蓮縣治安法官選舉優勝者" is "余淑貞" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "魏嘉賢" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "花蓮縣治安法官選舉優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.