Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in consistent forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican and a Partisan Voter Index around R+11 following 2026 redistricting. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary with 66% of the vote against challengers, while Victoria Broderick emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district's voting history and structural advantages have produced wide GOP margins in recent cycles, supporting trader consensus around 92-93% for a Republican general election victory on November 3. A major scandal, exceptionally strong Democratic turnout, or unexpected national shift could narrow the outcome, though such factors have not materialized in current assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$38,365 交易量
$38,365 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
93%
民主黨
8%
$38,365 交易量
$38,365 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$19,734 交易量
93%
民主黨
$18,631 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in consistent forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican and a Partisan Voter Index around R+11 following 2026 redistricting. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary with 66% of the vote against challengers, while Victoria Broderick emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district's voting history and structural advantages have produced wide GOP margins in recent cycles, supporting trader consensus around 92-93% for a Republican general election victory on November 3. A major scandal, exceptionally strong Democratic turnout, or unexpected national shift could narrow the outcome, though such factors have not materialized in current assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$38,365結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in consistent forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican and a Partisan Voter Index around R+11 following 2026 redistricting. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary with 66% of the vote against challengers, while Victoria Broderick emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district's voting history and structural advantages have produced wide GOP margins in recent cycles, supporting trader consensus around 92-93% for a Republican general election victory on November 3. A major scandal, exceptionally strong Democratic turnout, or unexpected national shift could narrow the outcome, though such factors have not materialized in current assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$38,365結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETTennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in consistent forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Republican and a Partisan Voter Index around R+11 following 2026 redistricting. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary with 66% of the vote against challengers, while Victoria Broderick emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district's voting history and structural advantages have produced wide GOP margins in recent cycles, supporting trader consensus around 92-93% for a Republican general election victory on November 3. A major scandal, exceptionally strong Democratic turnout, or unexpected national shift could narrow the outcome, though such factors have not materialized in current assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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