This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Byron Donalds maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely Republican nominee for Florida governor, reflecting sustained leads of 30 to 50 points in recent polls from Emerson College, Tarrance Group, and Stetson University through mid-May. President Trump’s early and explicit endorsement, combined with Donalds’ record $22 million first-quarter fundraising haul, has reinforced his frontrunner status in the open primary scheduled for August 18. Lt. Gov. Jay Collins has attempted to close the gap through issue attacks and campaign events, yet remains mired in single digits. Investor James Fishback shows modest polling gains and draws younger crowds with hardline positions, while other declared candidates including Casey DeSantis, Wilton Simpson, Matt Gaetz, and Jimmy Patronis register negligible support. These dynamics have produced the current market pricing, with late developments such as additional endorsements or turnout shifts among likely Republican voters still able to influence the outcome before early voting begins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Byron Donalds maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely Republican nominee for Florida governor, reflecting sustained leads of 30 to 50 points in recent polls from Emerson College, Tarrance Group, and Stetson University through mid-May. President Trump’s early and explicit endorsement, combined with Donalds’ record $22 million first-quarter fundraising haul, has reinforced his frontrunner status in the open primary scheduled for August 18. Lt. Gov. Jay Collins has attempted to close the gap through issue attacks and campaign events, yet remains mired in single digits. Investor James Fishback shows modest polling gains and draws younger crowds with hardline positions, while other declared candidates including Casey DeSantis, Wilton Simpson, Matt Gaetz, and Jimmy Patronis register negligible support. These dynamics have produced the current market pricing, with late developments such as additional endorsements or turnout shifts among likely Republican voters still able to influence the outcome before early voting begins.
Gov. Ron DeSantis calls special session to redraw Florida congressional districts
Governor DeSantis called a special legislative session in April 2026 to redraw congressional districts, intensifying GOP infighting and political maneuvering in Florida. While this affected the broader political landscape, it had limited direct impact on the gubernatorial primary market.
Feb 25 2026
Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid continues to solidify
Byron Donalds rises to 81%3%
Byron Donalds' campaign maintained its momentum as the primary frontrunner, with his market price rising steadily throughout the period.
Dec 4 2025
Jay Collins' gubernatorial bid gains attention as lieutenant governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Following his announcement, Jay Collins' candidacy gained traction but faced challenges competing against Trump-backed Donalds, reflected in fluctuating market prices in early December 2025.
Dec 1 2025
Jay Collins announces run for Florida governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announced his candidacy for governor, entering the primary race against Trump-backed Byron Donalds, which initially caused a shift in market expectations.
Byron Donalds' campaign for Florida governor, backed by Donald Trump, began the analysis window with strong market support, reflecting his status as the frontrunner.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins enters 2026 governor Republican primary
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a key ally of Governor Ron DeSantis, announced his candidacy for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary. His entry introduced a significant competitor to Donalds, initially reflected in market prices but ultimately did not sustain momentum.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces 2026 governor run against Trump-backed Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds surges to 63%15%
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a DeSantis ally, officially entered the Republican primary, setting up a contest against Trump-endorsed Byron Donalds. This announcement clarified the primary field and influenced early market positioning, with Donalds gaining from Trump's backing and Collins entering as a credible contender.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Byron Donalds maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely Republican nominee for Florida governor, reflecting sustained leads of 30 to 50 points in recent polls from Emerson College, Tarrance Group, and Stetson University through mid-May. President Trump’s early and explicit endorsement, combined with Donalds’ record $22 million first-quarter fundraising haul, has reinforced his frontrunner status in the open primary scheduled for August 18. Lt. Gov. Jay Collins has attempted to close the gap through issue attacks and campaign events, yet remains mired in single digits. Investor James Fishback shows modest polling gains and draws younger crowds with hardline positions, while other declared candidates including Casey DeSantis, Wilton Simpson, Matt Gaetz, and Jimmy Patronis register negligible support. These dynamics have produced the current market pricing, with late developments such as additional endorsements or turnout shifts among likely Republican voters still able to influence the outcome before early voting begins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Byron Donalds maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the likely Republican nominee for Florida governor, reflecting sustained leads of 30 to 50 points in recent polls from Emerson College, Tarrance Group, and Stetson University through mid-May. President Trump’s early and explicit endorsement, combined with Donalds’ record $22 million first-quarter fundraising haul, has reinforced his frontrunner status in the open primary scheduled for August 18. Lt. Gov. Jay Collins has attempted to close the gap through issue attacks and campaign events, yet remains mired in single digits. Investor James Fishback shows modest polling gains and draws younger crowds with hardline positions, while other declared candidates including Casey DeSantis, Wilton Simpson, Matt Gaetz, and Jimmy Patronis register negligible support. These dynamics have produced the current market pricing, with late developments such as additional endorsements or turnout shifts among likely Republican voters still able to influence the outcome before early voting begins.
Gov. Ron DeSantis calls special session to redraw Florida congressional districts
Governor DeSantis called a special legislative session in April 2026 to redraw congressional districts, intensifying GOP infighting and political maneuvering in Florida. While this affected the broader political landscape, it had limited direct impact on the gubernatorial primary market.
Feb 25 2026
Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid continues to solidify
Byron Donalds rises to 81%3%
Byron Donalds' campaign maintained its momentum as the primary frontrunner, with his market price rising steadily throughout the period.
Dec 4 2025
Jay Collins' gubernatorial bid gains attention as lieutenant governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Following his announcement, Jay Collins' candidacy gained traction but faced challenges competing against Trump-backed Donalds, reflected in fluctuating market prices in early December 2025.
Dec 1 2025
Jay Collins announces run for Florida governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announced his candidacy for governor, entering the primary race against Trump-backed Byron Donalds, which initially caused a shift in market expectations.
Byron Donalds' campaign for Florida governor, backed by Donald Trump, began the analysis window with strong market support, reflecting his status as the frontrunner.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins enters 2026 governor Republican primary
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a key ally of Governor Ron DeSantis, announced his candidacy for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary. His entry introduced a significant competitor to Donalds, initially reflected in market prices but ultimately did not sustain momentum.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces 2026 governor run against Trump-backed Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds surges to 63%15%
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a DeSantis ally, officially entered the Republican primary, setting up a contest against Trump-endorsed Byron Donalds. This announcement clarified the primary field and influenced early market positioning, with Donalds gaining from Trump's backing and Collins entering as a credible contender.
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions
"佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "拜倫·唐納茲" at 88%, followed by "詹姆斯·費什巴克" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "拜倫·唐納茲" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "詹姆斯·費什巴克" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.5 million traded on “佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.
On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 88¢ for "拜倫·唐納茲" in the "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 88% chance that "拜倫·唐納茲" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 88¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 12¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 18, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.
The "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" market has an active community of 51 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions