**California Proposition 40**, a ballot initiative for the November 3, 2026 election, would impose a one-time 5% wealth tax on the net worth of state billionaires to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. Trader sentiment favoring rejection at 72.5% reflects Governor Gavin Newsom’s opposition, multiple competing measures (including Proposition 42) designed to nullify the tax if they receive more votes, and substantial campaign spending by billionaires and business groups to defeat it. Early polling shows the measure trailing or only narrowly ahead amid concerns over constitutionality, asset valuation, potential taxpayer migration, and retroactive application. These factors, combined with historical resistance to new wealth taxes at the state level, underpin the current implied probability that voters will reject the proposal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
28% 機率
$3,665,936 交易量
$3,665,936 交易量
2026-11-03
是
28% 機率
$3,665,936 交易量
$3,665,936 交易量
2026-11-03
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**California Proposition 40**, a ballot initiative for the November 3, 2026 election, would impose a one-time 5% wealth tax on the net worth of state billionaires to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. Trader sentiment favoring rejection at 72.5% reflects Governor Gavin Newsom’s opposition, multiple competing measures (including Proposition 42) designed to nullify the tax if they receive more votes, and substantial campaign spending by billionaires and business groups to defeat it. Early polling shows the measure trailing or only narrowly ahead amid concerns over constitutionality, asset valuation, potential taxpayer migration, and retroactive application. These factors, combined with historical resistance to new wealth taxes at the state level, underpin the current implied probability that voters will reject the proposal.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
交易量
$3,665,936結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**California Proposition 40**, a ballot initiative for the November 3, 2026 election, would impose a one-time 5% wealth tax on the net worth of state billionaires to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. Trader sentiment favoring rejection at 72.5% reflects Governor Gavin Newsom’s opposition, multiple competing measures (including Proposition 42) designed to nullify the tax if they receive more votes, and substantial campaign spending by billionaires and business groups to defeat it. Early polling shows the measure trailing or only narrowly ahead amid concerns over constitutionality, asset valuation, potential taxpayer migration, and retroactive application. These factors, combined with historical resistance to new wealth taxes at the state level, underpin the current implied probability that voters will reject the proposal.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,665,936結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**California Proposition 40**, a ballot initiative for the November 3, 2026 election, would impose a one-time 5% wealth tax on the net worth of state billionaires to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. Trader sentiment favoring rejection at 72.5% reflects Governor Gavin Newsom’s opposition, multiple competing measures (including Proposition 42) designed to nullify the tax if they receive more votes, and substantial campaign spending by billionaires and business groups to defeat it. Early polling shows the measure trailing or only narrowly ahead amid concerns over constitutionality, asset valuation, potential taxpayer migration, and retroactive application. These factors, combined with historical resistance to new wealth taxes at the state level, underpin the current implied probability that voters will reject the proposal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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