President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AK Party have sustained preparatory work on replacing Turkey’s 1982 constitution, with a party commission recently completing internal reviews and scheduled to brief the president before outlining a formal roadmap. Recent statements from senior officials, including renewed calls for an “inclusive, libertarian and civilian” charter, underscore continued priority. However, the AK Party lacks the parliamentary majority needed to advance a full replacement or referendum without broader coalition support, and opposition resistance plus competing legislative priorities have slowed momentum. Traders therefore assign high probability to no substantive constitutional move occurring in 2026, viewing current activity as preparatory rather than decisive.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AK Party have sustained preparatory work on replacing Turkey’s 1982 constitution, with a party commission recently completing internal reviews and scheduled to brief the president before outlining a formal roadmap. Recent statements from senior officials, including renewed calls for an “inclusive, libertarian and civilian” charter, underscore continued priority. However, the AK Party lacks the parliamentary majority needed to advance a full replacement or referendum without broader coalition support, and opposition resistance plus competing legislative priorities have slowed momentum. Traders therefore assign high probability to no substantive constitutional move occurring in 2026, viewing current activity as preparatory rather than decisive.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$1,631結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AK Party have sustained preparatory work on replacing Turkey’s 1982 constitution, with a party commission recently completing internal reviews and scheduled to brief the president before outlining a formal roadmap. Recent statements from senior officials, including renewed calls for an “inclusive, libertarian and civilian” charter, underscore continued priority. However, the AK Party lacks the parliamentary majority needed to advance a full replacement or referendum without broader coalition support, and opposition resistance plus competing legislative priorities have slowed momentum. Traders therefore assign high probability to no substantive constitutional move occurring in 2026, viewing current activity as preparatory rather than decisive.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,631結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AK Party have sustained preparatory work on replacing Turkey’s 1982 constitution, with a party commission recently completing internal reviews and scheduled to brief the president before outlining a formal roadmap. Recent statements from senior officials, including renewed calls for an “inclusive, libertarian and civilian” charter, underscore continued priority. However, the AK Party lacks the parliamentary majority needed to advance a full replacement or referendum without broader coalition support, and opposition resistance plus competing legislative priorities have slowed momentum. Traders therefore assign high probability to no substantive constitutional move occurring in 2026, viewing current activity as preparatory rather than decisive.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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