Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 66.5% for a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement in 2026, reflecting stalled progress amid parliamentary hurdles despite ongoing rhetoric from President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Justice Minister Akın Gürlek. AKP has advanced a new constitution draft emphasizing human dignity and democratic governance, but the People's Alliance (AKP-MHP) holds around 321 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, short of the 360 needed to force a referendum without broader support. Recent calls, including Gürlek's May 11 statement quoting Erdoğan on the need for a "new, inclusive, civilian constitution," have not translated to votes or an official announcement by mid-May, with opposition from CHP underscoring the uncertain path ahead of the December 31 deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-12-31
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 66.5% for a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement in 2026, reflecting stalled progress amid parliamentary hurdles despite ongoing rhetoric from President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Justice Minister Akın Gürlek. AKP has advanced a new constitution draft emphasizing human dignity and democratic governance, but the People's Alliance (AKP-MHP) holds around 321 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, short of the 360 needed to force a referendum without broader support. Recent calls, including Gürlek's May 11 statement quoting Erdoğan on the need for a "new, inclusive, civilian constitution," have not translated to votes or an official announcement by mid-May, with opposition from CHP underscoring the uncertain path ahead of the December 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
交易量
$529結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 66.5% for a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement in 2026, reflecting stalled progress amid parliamentary hurdles despite ongoing rhetoric from President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Justice Minister Akın Gürlek. AKP has advanced a new constitution draft emphasizing human dignity and democratic governance, but the People's Alliance (AKP-MHP) holds around 321 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, short of the 360 needed to force a referendum without broader support. Recent calls, including Gürlek's May 11 statement quoting Erdoğan on the need for a "new, inclusive, civilian constitution," have not translated to votes or an official announcement by mid-May, with opposition from CHP underscoring the uncertain path ahead of the December 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$529結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 66.5% for a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement in 2026, reflecting stalled progress amid parliamentary hurdles despite ongoing rhetoric from President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Justice Minister Akın Gürlek. AKP has advanced a new constitution draft emphasizing human dignity and democratic governance, but the People's Alliance (AKP-MHP) holds around 321 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, short of the 360 needed to force a referendum without broader support. Recent calls, including Gürlek's May 11 statement quoting Erdoğan on the need for a "new, inclusive, civilian constitution," have not translated to votes or an official announcement by mid-May, with opposition from CHP underscoring the uncertain path ahead of the December 31 deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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