President Erdoğan's government initiated preparatory drafting of a new Turkish constitution in May 2025 through a legal expert team and limited AKP internal consultations, yet the ruling coalition controls only about 321 of 600 parliamentary seats—short of the 360 needed to send amendments to a referendum or the 400 required for direct passage. Opposition parties including the CHP maintain resistance, preventing formation of the cross-party consensus or formal legislative package that would enable an official referendum announcement by the end of 2026. These structural barriers in the legislature continue to anchor trader expectations against any such announcement occurring this year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於14% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
14% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Erdoğan's government initiated preparatory drafting of a new Turkish constitution in May 2025 through a legal expert team and limited AKP internal consultations, yet the ruling coalition controls only about 321 of 600 parliamentary seats—short of the 360 needed to send amendments to a referendum or the 400 required for direct passage. Opposition parties including the CHP maintain resistance, preventing formation of the cross-party consensus or formal legislative package that would enable an official referendum announcement by the end of 2026. These structural barriers in the legislature continue to anchor trader expectations against any such announcement occurring this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
交易量
$6,734結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Erdoğan's government initiated preparatory drafting of a new Turkish constitution in May 2025 through a legal expert team and limited AKP internal consultations, yet the ruling coalition controls only about 321 of 600 parliamentary seats—short of the 360 needed to send amendments to a referendum or the 400 required for direct passage. Opposition parties including the CHP maintain resistance, preventing formation of the cross-party consensus or formal legislative package that would enable an official referendum announcement by the end of 2026. These structural barriers in the legislature continue to anchor trader expectations against any such announcement occurring this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,734結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Erdoğan's government initiated preparatory drafting of a new Turkish constitution in May 2025 through a legal expert team and limited AKP internal consultations, yet the ruling coalition controls only about 321 of 600 parliamentary seats—short of the 360 needed to send amendments to a referendum or the 400 required for direct passage. Opposition parties including the CHP maintain resistance, preventing formation of the cross-party consensus or formal legislative package that would enable an official referendum announcement by the end of 2026. These structural barriers in the legislature continue to anchor trader expectations against any such announcement occurring this year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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