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icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?

icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?

200+ 30%

160-179 19%

140-159 18%

180-199 17%

Polymarket

$12,474 交易量

200+ 30%

160-179 19%

140-159 18%

180-199 17%

Polymarket

$12,474 交易量

<20

$2,529 交易量

<1%

20-39

$517 交易量

<1%

40-59

$759 交易量

<1%

60-79

$334 交易量

<1%

80-99

$1,359 交易量

6%

100-119

$1,172 交易量

8%

120-139

$560 交易量

11%

140-159

$1,114 交易量

18%

160-179

$1,287 交易量

19%

180-199

$1,184 交易量

17%

200+

$1,659 交易量

30%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity reflects variable posting patterns shaped by news cycles, policy announcements, and presidential priorities, with recent data showing averages of 18 posts per day in 2025 rising to 27 per day during active periods like May 2026. This volatility supports the fragmented market pricing, where ranges above 160 posts capture potential for sustained high output or late-week surges tied to events such as legislative developments or international developments. The leading 200+ outcome at 29.5% aligns with trader assessments of elevated volume possible amid ongoing platform monetization efforts and market-moving announcements, while lower brackets reflect baseline consistency. Scheduled events or breaking developments in the resolution window could shift volume quickly, as historical binges demonstrate rapid escalation beyond weekly norms.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$12,474
結束日期
2026-08-25
市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity reflects variable posting patterns shaped by news cycles, policy announcements, and presidential priorities, with recent data showing averages of 18 posts per day in 2025 rising to 27 per day during active periods like May 2026. This volatility supports the fragmented market pricing, where ranges above 160 posts capture potential for sustained high output or late-week surges tied to events such as legislative developments or international developments. The leading 200+ outcome at 29.5% aligns with trader assessments of elevated volume possible amid ongoing platform monetization efforts and market-moving announcements, while lower brackets reflect baseline consistency. Scheduled events or breaking developments in the resolution window could shift volume quickly, as historical binges demonstrate rapid escalation beyond weekly norms.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$12,474
結束日期
2026-08-25
市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "200+" at 30%, followed by "160-179" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?" has generated $12.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?" is "200+" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "160-179" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月18日至8月25日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.