The tight statistical tie in the latest August 2026 internal poll between incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin—showing 40% to 38% with roughly 20% undecided—has driven trader positioning in the FL-25 Democratic primary margin market ahead of the August 18 vote. Earlier surveys had given Moskowitz double-digit leads that narrowed sharply amid Larkin's mobilization of Democratic primary voters and outside spending on both sides. The new coastal district's diverse electorate and even partisan split amplify uncertainty, with early voting patterns and mobilization of remaining undecideds likely to shape the final margin. High "Other" pricing reflects expectations that the outcome could fall outside listed buckets given the race's competitiveness and short timeline to primary day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於莫斯科維茨25%+ 39%
莫斯科維茨20–25% 20%
Moskowitz 10–15% 16%
莫斯科維茨15-20% 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
莫斯科維茨25%+
39%
莫斯科維茨20–25%
20%
莫斯科維茨15-20%
14%
Moskowitz 10–15%
16%
莫斯科維茨5–10%
1%
莫斯科維茨 <5%
9%
拉金 <5%
3%
拉金 5–10%
3%
拉金10-15%
3%
拉金15–20%
3%
拉金20–25%
3%
拉金25%+
2%
莫斯科維茨25%+ 39%
莫斯科維茨20–25% 20%
Moskowitz 10–15% 16%
莫斯科維茨15-20% 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
莫斯科維茨25%+
$5,109 交易量
39%
莫斯科維茨20–25%
$541 交易量
20%
莫斯科維茨15-20%
$234 交易量
14%
Moskowitz 10–15%
$159 交易量
16%
莫斯科維茨5–10%
$31 交易量
1%
莫斯科維茨 <5%
$47 交易量
9%
拉金 <5%
$78 交易量
3%
拉金 5–10%
$78 交易量
3%
拉金10-15%
$138 交易量
3%
拉金15–20%
$100 交易量
3%
拉金20–25%
$78 交易量
3%
拉金25%+
$166 交易量
2%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The tight statistical tie in the latest August 2026 internal poll between incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin—showing 40% to 38% with roughly 20% undecided—has driven trader positioning in the FL-25 Democratic primary margin market ahead of the August 18 vote. Earlier surveys had given Moskowitz double-digit leads that narrowed sharply amid Larkin's mobilization of Democratic primary voters and outside spending on both sides. The new coastal district's diverse electorate and even partisan split amplify uncertainty, with early voting patterns and mobilization of remaining undecideds likely to shape the final margin. High "Other" pricing reflects expectations that the outcome could fall outside listed buckets given the race's competitiveness and short timeline to primary day.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
交易量
$6,760結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The tight statistical tie in the latest August 2026 internal poll between incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin—showing 40% to 38% with roughly 20% undecided—has driven trader positioning in the FL-25 Democratic primary margin market ahead of the August 18 vote. Earlier surveys had given Moskowitz double-digit leads that narrowed sharply amid Larkin's mobilization of Democratic primary voters and outside spending on both sides. The new coastal district's diverse electorate and even partisan split amplify uncertainty, with early voting patterns and mobilization of remaining undecideds likely to shape the final margin. High "Other" pricing reflects expectations that the outcome could fall outside listed buckets given the race's competitiveness and short timeline to primary day.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$6,760結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight statistical tie in the latest August 2026 internal poll between incumbent Jared Moskowitz and progressive challenger Oliver Larkin—showing 40% to 38% with roughly 20% undecided—has driven trader positioning in the FL-25 Democratic primary margin market ahead of the August 18 vote. Earlier surveys had given Moskowitz double-digit leads that narrowed sharply amid Larkin's mobilization of Democratic primary voters and outside spending on both sides. The new coastal district's diverse electorate and even partisan split amplify uncertainty, with early voting patterns and mobilization of remaining undecideds likely to shape the final margin. High "Other" pricing reflects expectations that the outcome could fall outside listed buckets given the race's competitiveness and short timeline to primary day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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Frequently Asked Questions