**David Crowley holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin governor race following his narrow August 11 primary victory over Francesca Hong, secured after re-entering with retiring Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement.** Tom Tiffany won the Republican nomination with minimal opposition. Post-primary Marquette Law School polling shows Crowley leading Tiffany 49-44 among likely voters and tied at 44% among registered voters, with independents breaking toward Crowley and Democrats demonstrating slightly higher turnout commitment. The open-seat contest in the swing state features cost-of-living and economic concerns as top voter priorities, while early forecaster ratings classify the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic. These developments, combined with Crowley’s executive experience in Milwaukee County, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$513,171 交易量
$513,171 交易量
2026-11-02
大衛·克勞利（民主黨）
81%
湯姆·蒂凡尼（共和黨）
20%
$513,171 交易量
$513,171 交易量
2026-11-02
大衛·克勞利（民主黨）
$270,710 交易量
81%
湯姆·蒂凡尼（共和黨）
$242,460 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**David Crowley holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin governor race following his narrow August 11 primary victory over Francesca Hong, secured after re-entering with retiring Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement.** Tom Tiffany won the Republican nomination with minimal opposition. Post-primary Marquette Law School polling shows Crowley leading Tiffany 49-44 among likely voters and tied at 44% among registered voters, with independents breaking toward Crowley and Democrats demonstrating slightly higher turnout commitment. The open-seat contest in the swing state features cost-of-living and economic concerns as top voter priorities, while early forecaster ratings classify the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic. These developments, combined with Crowley’s executive experience in Milwaukee County, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$513,171結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**David Crowley holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin governor race following his narrow August 11 primary victory over Francesca Hong, secured after re-entering with retiring Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement.** Tom Tiffany won the Republican nomination with minimal opposition. Post-primary Marquette Law School polling shows Crowley leading Tiffany 49-44 among likely voters and tied at 44% among registered voters, with independents breaking toward Crowley and Democrats demonstrating slightly higher turnout commitment. The open-seat contest in the swing state features cost-of-living and economic concerns as top voter priorities, while early forecaster ratings classify the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic. These developments, combined with Crowley’s executive experience in Milwaukee County, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$513,171結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET**David Crowley holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin governor race following his narrow August 11 primary victory over Francesca Hong, secured after re-entering with retiring Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement.** Tom Tiffany won the Republican nomination with minimal opposition. Post-primary Marquette Law School polling shows Crowley leading Tiffany 49-44 among likely voters and tied at 44% among registered voters, with independents breaking toward Crowley and Democrats demonstrating slightly higher turnout commitment. The open-seat contest in the swing state features cost-of-living and economic concerns as top voter priorities, while early forecaster ratings classify the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic. These developments, combined with Crowley’s executive experience in Milwaukee County, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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